Back to home page Publications
 

 

Entries for 'Poland'

May 27, 2020

We now expect an even deeper output contraction of 5.7% in the CEEMEA region. Effects of the COVID-19 shock are increasingly visible in the data for March-April. We downgrade growth in South Africa, the Czech Republic, Ukraine, and Russia. The fall in activity prompted authorities to implement fiscal stimulus measures. Together with cyclical revenue weakness, additional spending will widen deficits. CEEMEA central banks cut rates and some began government bond purchases.

April 20, 2020

COVID-19 is projected to bring about a 4.7% output contraction in 2020. This is partly the result of the looming deep recession in the Euro area. Virus containment measures will also lead to weaker domestic demand. Markedly wider fiscal deficits could intensify debt sustainability concerns.

July 22, 2019

Labor shortages and fragile investor confidence will constrain output growth. Policies will likely become more accommodative, thanks to a dovish ECB and Fed. The external financing and inflation outlook will remain challenging for some. Slow progress in addressing structural problems will intensify vulnerabilities.

June 5, 2019

A fiscal stimulus program provided support to private consumption and growth in early 2019. Accommodative policies are expected to continue through 2020, helping growth to remain robust. One-off revenues and cyclically strong tax collection will mask the deterioration in fiscal discipline. 

May 29, 2018
Economic growth has been high, but is increasingly driven by consumption. Productivity growth slowed since 2009 and investment remains relatively low.

November 6, 2017
Strong domestic demand will likely push real GDP growth to 5% in 2017H2.' Headline inflation will probably fall before rising above the inflation targ

September 5, 2017
The central government budget shifted to a surplus after the first six months of 2017.' The budget is likely to slip back into a deficit as the early

May 15, 2017
Headline inflation remained at 2.0% in April, with 12-month core inflation rising to 0.9% from 0.6% in March, the highest level since 2014. Real GDP g

March 20, 2017
Our visit to Poland last week came on heels of the contentious attempts by the Polish authorities to block re-appointment of the former Polish Prime M

January 31, 2017
Real GDP growth slowed to 2.8% in 2016, down from 3.9% a year earlier.' Slowdown in transfers from the EU budget and rising political uncertainty weig

September 26, 2016
Our recent trip to Warsaw left us with an impression that the implementation progress of the structural reform agenda has been less than satisfactory

July 18, 2016
Growth should resume in the rest of 2016, but it will most likely be centered on consumption, helped by increasing social spe

March 7, 2016
The new Polish government, elected in October last year, has an ambitious agenda of social, institutional and economic reforms that it believes will t

February 14, 2016
The overwhelming takeaway from our recent trip to Warsaw is uncertainty about policy prospects as authorities grapple with the new government's ambiti

November 23, 2015
Economic policy in Poland is likely to change after the socially conservative, but economically populist, Law and Justice (PiS) party won the October

August 19, 2015
The radical plan to convert FX housing loans may cost banks $6 billion this year and may reduce their Tier 1 capital ratio by 2.5 percentage points. P

April 7, 2015
Helped by supportive macroeconomic policies, real GDP growth has been robust, and recovering demand for credit among corporations has boosted banks' p

August 20, 2014
Real GDP growth has slowed in Poland during the second quarter and inflation has dropped. The crisis in Ukraine has already hit growth by restricting

February 6, 2014
Supported by stronger foreign demand, improving confidence and accommodative policies, output growth is likely to extend the strong momentum from late

September 19, 2013
Financial market pressures have intensified in Poland recently despite a much-improved economic outlook. Real GDP is likely to grow by 2% by the end o
Page 2 of 3First   Previous   1  [2]  3  Next   Last   
IIF Headquarters
1333 H St NW, Suite 800E Washington, DC 20005-4770
Fax:+1 202 775-1430
IIF Middle East and Africa Regional Office
DIFC, The Gate Building P.O. Box 121208 Dubai, U.A.E.
IIF Asia Pacific Regional Office - Beijing
12/F Financial Street Excel Centre No.6 Wudinghou Street Xicheng District, Beijing 100032, PRC
IIF Asia Pacific Regional Office - Singapore
50 Raffles Place #22-06 Singapore Land Tower Singapore 048623
IIF Europe Representative Office
Square de Meeûs 23 14th Floor 1000 Brussels Belgium
© 2024 IIF - The Institute of International Finance TermsPrivacy