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Publications
Entries for 'EM Europe'
European Policy Dialogue Summary
April 23, 2017
The Institute of International Finance organized a series of European Policy Dialogues with senior European officials alongside the Spring IMF / World
IIF Dispatch: Update on Turkey
April 17, 2017
With 51.4 percent of voters having voted in favor of constitutional changes in the April 16 referendum, Turkey is set to replace its parliamentary sys
EU Political Update: A Guide to the French Presidential Election
April 14, 2017
French voters go to the polls on April 23 for the presidential election Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen are currently tied in first place in the opi
Ukraine: Blockade Threatens Growth
March 30, 2017
A recent acceleration of growth is threatened by the blockade of the occupied territory in eastern Ukraine and by halting implementation of the IMF pr
Euro Area Economic Update: Positive Fundamentals, but Risks Remain
March 22, 2017
The euro area continued its robust recovery in 2016, with GDP growth of 1.7%, outpacing the US. We expect growth to remain robust in 2017 and 2018. In
IIF Dispatch: Update from Warsaw
March 20, 2017
Our visit to Poland last week came on heels of the contentious attempts by the Polish authorities to block re-appointment of the former Polish Prime M
German Economic Update: Still Saving for a Rainy Day
March 9, 2017
We expect robust GDP growth to continue, driven by domestic demand Investment is set to boom, with the housing market a particular highlight Germany i
Emerging Europe: All Together Now
March 8, 2017
Real GDP growth in the region is likely to pick up in 2017 to 2.1% from 1.4% in 2015 and 2016. Higher growth reflects end of recession in Ukraine and
ECB Preview and Draghi's Dashboard: Not yet under pressure
March 6, 2017
Headline inflation has risen above target for the first time in four years. Inflation has turned positive in all euro area countries-specter of deflat
EU Political Risk Update: Fortune Shines on Macron
March 1, 2017
The European political outlook continues to evolve. This report updates on the latest developments in France, Germany and Italy. In France, Emmanuel
Czech Republic: Preparing for an Exit
February 27, 2017
Real GDP growth slowed to 2.3% last year as investments shrank by 2% amid reduced transfers from the EU budget.' Growth is likely to stay at 2-2.5% th
Turkey: Further Political Uncertainty Looms
February 27, 2017
A series of shocks appears to have slowed real GDP growth sharply to 1.7% last year and growth is likely to decelerate further to 1.5% this year as th
IIF Dispatch: Update from Moscow
February 22, 2017
Our discussions during our Moscow trip last week centered on recent appreciation of the ruble against the US dollar (+4% since beginning of 2017) and
IIF Dispatch: Update from Athens - Part 1
February 16, 2017
Déjà vu for Greece: Hoping for a compromise on debt relief A recent visit to Athens has brought back a sense of déjà vu! Unfortunately, Greece is
Russia: Poised for Trump Rally
February 3, 2017
Real GDP declined 0.2% in 2016, but growth resumed in the second half of the year.' Rising oil prices helped stabilize the ruble at RUB/$60 level, 20%
Poland: Self Inflicted Wounds
January 31, 2017
Real GDP growth slowed to 2.8% in 2016, down from 3.9% a year earlier.' Slowdown in transfers from the EU budget and rising political uncertainty weig
EU Political Risk Update: France Takes the Spotlight
January 31, 2017
Le Pen takes the lead from Fillon in the latest French first-round polls Macron is building momentum and is a serious contender SPD nominates Schulz a
Brexit Update: Torn between EU and US
January 30, 2017
UK Supreme Court upholds parliamentary sovereignty More involvement from Parliament will not significantly alter course Hard Brexit from EU remains ba
ECB Outlook 2017 - Time to Taper?
January 24, 2017
Core inflation remains weak, despite massive monetary stimulus We think the balance of risks to inflation and growth are no longer to the downside"¦ "
Draghi's Dashboard and ECB Preview: Inflation Deliberations
January 17, 2017
No changes to existing policy measures ECB will look through upside news in inflation as "temporary" "¦ "¦but pressure on ECB to end asset purchases i
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