Entries for 'Mature Economies'
June 16, 2017
Why is Retail Employment Falling so Sharply? We examine whether changing shopping habits can explain large job losses. Our results show that the subs
June 14, 2017
Mr. Phillips Goes to Washington In the aftermath of the Fed meeting, and following our previous analysis, we show that the Phillips curve plays an im
June 9, 2017
PM May's snap election backfires spectacularly and a Conservative power struggle could follow. Hung parliament with the Northern Irish DUP providing C
June 2, 2017
We are introducing a new publication, which we are calling Global Macro Views . This product aims to complement existing IIF research, by discussing b
May 19, 2017
Since January 2017, the ECB has been allowed to buy sovereign bonds under its public sector purchase program (PSPP) at yields below the deposit rate,
May 12, 2017
When it comes to global growth, sentiment has turned more upbeat in recent months"¦ but many remain cautious over the US outlook, one reason why marke
May 8, 2017
We expect GDP growth of 1.4% in 2017 and 0.0% in 2018 Reality is starting to bite as inflation is putting downwards pressure on consumption "¦ "¦ and
May 2, 2017
Abenomics is still far away from achieving any meaningful results. However, this may be the biggest chance for Japan to finally get out from its more
April 14, 2017
French voters go to the polls on April 23 for the presidential election Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen are currently tied in first place in the opi
April 12, 2017
While optimism in businesses and households has remained at elevated levels, hard data from the US economy has been much weaker in the first quarter.
April 6, 2017
We change our interest rate forecast to incorporate a balance sheet runoff later this year Reduction in the Fed's assets translate to additional "synt
March 22, 2017
The euro area continued its robust recovery in 2016, with GDP growth of 1.7%, outpacing the US. We expect growth to remain robust in 2017 and 2018. In
March 16, 2017
PM Rutte achieves another victory with 22% of the vote Loss of momentum led to Wilder's defeat Rutte's party VVD remains the largest party despite los
March 15, 2017
Federal Reserve hikes the interest rate to 1.00% Monetary policy statement little changed'€¦' '€¦ and the dot plot remained broadly the same Yellen st
March 9, 2017
We expect fiscal stimulus to fall short of lofty expectations We assume trade tension will stay shy of broad-based tariffs and more disruptive measure
March 9, 2017
The Dutch parliamentary election of March 15 kicks off a busy election year in Europe. It's the first in a series of European elections in which a rig
March 9, 2017
We expect robust GDP growth to continue, driven by domestic demand Investment is set to boom, with the housing market a particular highlight Germany i
March 6, 2017
Headline inflation has risen above target for the first time in four years. Inflation has turned positive in all euro area countries-specter of deflat
March 1, 2017
The European political outlook continues to evolve. This report updates on the latest developments in France, Germany and Italy. In France, Emmanuel
February 16, 2017
Déjà vu for Greece: Hoping for a compromise on debt relief A recent visit to Athens has brought back a sense of déjà vu! Unfortunately, Greece is