Entries for 'EM Vulnerability'

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We examine how rising global interest rates might impact growth in emerging markets, differentiating between countries where growth has been consumpti

We are introducing a new publication, which we are calling Global Macro Views . This product aims to complement existing IIF research, by discussing b

In the months since the election, the ability of Dollar moves to explain USD/CNY fixings is down sharply.' We interpret this regime change as a de fa

We estimate a simple model that examines the role that Dollar direction plays in the fixing mechanism. Prior to Nov. 8, the fixing displayed asymmetry

The sharp decline in the current account surplus,' which fell over $100 billion last year, was driven by a drop in the goods balance, not services.' W