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Economic Views: Is there Slack in China’s Economy?

Our China tracker diverges from official GDP figures. Activity slowed markedly in the first half of 2018, … but weakened only marginally as...

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Thriving EM Debt

Portfolio flows to EM stood at $28.9 bn in January. Equity and debt were -$0.7 bn and $29.7 bn, respectively. Net capital flows to EM reached -$33.1 bn in December.

CEEMEA Views: Turkey - Financing Needs Remain Sizable

Large amortization payments will leave Turkey exposed to rollover risk in 2020. The composition of amortization payments should alleviate some of the concerns. Net foreign borrowing will continue to be an important determinant of growth. Residents could withdraw from assets abroad if they fail to roll over maturing debt.

FRT Episode 58: Standard Life Aberdeen Chairman Douglas Flint

Standard Life Aberdeen Chairman Douglas Flint discusses the opportunities in digital identity and combating financial crime, as well as ensuring that banks and insurers can preserve customer trust in the way they handle data.

Green Weekly Insight: The Davos after-party

As ESG investing goes mainstream, the potential “carbon correction” in asset prices may prompt sizable capital reallocations; Achieving the SDGs will require more private sector funding, but better ESG data is needed to inform investment decisions; Low-income countries tend to be more vulnerable to climate shocks—but rising debt loads constrain their capacity to respond; Beyond climate in the “E” of ESG—more focus on financing to support biodiversity

Global Macro Views: The EM Investment Slump

EM growth has failed to outpace that in advanced countries since 2013, ... a prolonged growth slump we have been calling “secular stagnation&r...

Macro Notes: Struggling Systemic SOEs in South Africa and Mexico

South Africa and Mexico face significant fiscal risks from struggling SOEs. Both Eskom and Pemex are receiving sizable support from governments. Such risks prompt SARB and BANXICO to keep real rates above EM peers. A downgrade of sovereign credit ratings could lead to large portfolio outflows. However, risks to debt sustainability are higher in South Africa than Mexico.

IIF January Global Regulatory Update

The January 2020 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams.

Economic Views: Argentina under Capital Controls

Argentina introduced capital controls last summer. We draw lessons from the 2011-15 controls episode. Capital flight fell and the central bank bought FX, but reserves were spent absent nonresident inflows. Capital controls will only buy temporary respite.

IIF/EBF Global Climate Finance Survey: A Look At How Financial Firms Are Approaching Climate Risk Analysis, Measurement, And Disclosure

With a growing focus on sustainable finance, and particularly the need for a robust toolkit for climate risk management and disclosure, the Institute of International Finance (IIF) and European Banking Federation (EBF) conducted a joint survey of their members. The survey of 70 financial firms around the world, with total assets of nearly $40 trillion, finds that the streamlining of measurement and disclosure frameworks, and increased international collaboration, are key to strengthening the climate-related risk analysis and reporting toolkit.

 

 

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