Publications

Oil Update: OPEC Delivers More Than Expected

December 1, 2016

OPEC agrees to reduce production by 1.14 mb/d to 32.5 mb/d. Russia and other non-OPEC countries also chip in. Oil prices have spiked, but the continui

Russia: Budget for Peace

December 1, 2016

The government has submitted its budgetary plans for years 2017-2019, in which it plans to reduce the deficit from expected 4.7% of GDP this year to 1

IIF Dispatch: Update on French Election

December 1, 2016

As expected after his clear first round victory, FranÃ§ois Fillon beat Alain Juppé in the French Republican primary runoff on November 27 with 66.5%

IIF Weekly Insight: Many Moving Parts

December 1, 2016

Reassessing the Trump trade Trump's economic team starts to take shape Business stays upbeat China-YI Gang tries to sooth RMB fear Turkey-currency wea

Ukraine: Uneasy Calm

November 30, 2016

The economy is slowly recovering on the back of growth in consumption and stabilizing inflation. Increasing consumption and lackluster export growth h

November 2016 IIF Capital Flows Tracker

November 29, 2016

Portfolio outflows largest since "taper tantrum": Non-resident portfolio outflows from EMs are estimated to have been a hefty $24.2 billion in Novembe

The Italian Constitutional Referendum

November 23, 2016

Italy to vote on reforms to limit the powers of the Senate We think a "No" vote is the most likely outcome PM Renzi likely to resign in the case of a

India: Demonetization Shock

November 23, 2016

The bold but controversial demonetization initiative is a political gamble and will adversely affect growth over several quarters, but should also hav

IIF Dispatch: Update from Hungary

November 22, 2016

Our recent trip to Budapest reaffirmed our view that policy framework is becoming increasingly more complicated in Hungary as the authorities are look

Brexit Update: More Complications

November 21, 2016

Economic resilience is coming to an end. Uncertainty is the only certainty in the Brexit process. Trump p

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