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Global Macro Views: EM Contagion Risk

The Argentinian Peso and Turkish Lira have fallen sharply this year, but spillovers to the broader emerging markets complex have been limited. We e

Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey - 2018Q1

The composite index for the Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey (EMBLS) reached 50.4 pts in 2018Q1, decreasing by 0.7 pts relative to the

Ukraine: A New IMF Program is Critical

IMF assistance has helped stabilize the economy after a difficult period. The external financing picture remains weak and will strain reserves. A new

Weekly Insight: Will this time be different?

All eyes on EM debt as U.S. rates rise; EM debt ratios look more sensitive to USD strength than in 2009 Time for a pivot to equities? Stocks looking c

April 2018 EM Growth Tracker

Our EM Growth Tracker fell to 6.1% (3m/3m sa ar) in April, 0.6pp lower than March; a further slide after the tracker achieved its highest level since

IIF Quarterly Global Debt Monitor - Slide Deck

Launched in November 2015 in response to growing demand from our members, both private and public sector Complements our long-established work on capi

Iran Update: Uncertain Prospects

The impact could be muted if the main energy trading partners of Iran secure exemptions from the U.S. or can find a way

MENA Oil Exporters: Higher Oil Prices Offer Temporary Relief

Higher oil prices will widen the current account surplus from 2.5% of GDP in 2017 to 9.6% in 2018. The fiscal deficit, including investment income, wi

Global Macro Views: The Deal with Argentina

We have been writing on the growing vulnerabilities across EM, where we have been focused on two countries: Turkey and Argentina . Given recent dev

DC Dispatch: Navigating a 45-day Gauntlet

Already this month, the Trump Administration sent a high-level trade delegation to China, announced its withdrawal from the Iran deal, moved the U.S.



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