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Iraq: Glimmer of Light at the End of the Tunnel

Iraq's post-war infrastructure rebuilding will help propel the economy's recovery. The recent oil price rise has alleviated some of Iraq's immediate f

China Spotlight: Pigs Won't Fly, yet CPI Can Climb Higher

Bottom-up analysis shows that CPI in 2018 will be moderately higher, "¦ "¦driven by food, residence and probably also services.' Thus, we think the ch

January 2018 Capital Markets Monitor: Potential Risks on our 2018 Radar Screen

Against the backdrop of a persistent hunt for yield, global leveraged loan issuance hit a record high of over $1.7 trillion in 2017-50% higher than it

Global Macro Views: Who Let the FROGs Out?

Earlier this week we introduced the concept of FROGs , where the abbreviation stands for F rivolously R elated O utput G aps. This is a gap that is

Economic Views: Tunisia - A Winter of Discontent

The economic situation has deteriorated since the Arab Spring in 2011. Fiscal consolidation, continual high unemployment, and rising inflation have tr

Weekly Insight: Fear of Missing Out

"¢ Hopes for a stock market "melt up"-but where's the value? "¢ Higher bond yields-and oil prices-keep fixed income traders anxious "¢ New Year's appe

IIF Flows Alert: Full steam ahead, for now

EM portfolio flows start the year on a strong note, with the 7-day moving average of daily flows reaching a 10-month high Flows to Korea, Indonesia an

Global Macro Views: Year of the FROG

January always brings discussion of key themes for the year ahead. A key theme should be a fundamental re-examination of the output gap. Oddly enough,

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Strong 2017 Overall, but Softer H2

Strong 2017 Overall, but Softer H2 "¢'  Non-resident portfolio inflows to EMs were $9.4 billion in December and $235 billion for the year (vs $152 bn

Inclusive Insurance: Closing the Protection Gap for Emerging Customers

This report-produced in partnership with the Center for Financial Inclusion at Accion (CFI)-examines how insurers are expanding into new markets and r




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