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Global Macro Views: When will the US start overheating?

One month ago, average hourly earnings surprised to the upside, sparking anxiety that the US economy may - finally - be starting to overheat. We ar

Argentina: A Difficult Year

The peso is among the weakest EM currencies year-to-date. This reflects a rapidly widening current account deficit, in part due to pent-up demand. Whi

Algeria: Self-Reliance Has Its Limits

While political reforms may be delayed, a shift to private sector-led growth and diversification away from hydrocarbons would help to achieve sustaine

South Africa: Outlook Improves, but Risk Factors Remain

Recent political changes and policy adjustments have improved investor and consumer sentiment.' Fiscal policy is focused on deficit reduction, which c

March 2018 Global Regulatory Update

stress testing recovery and resolution AML/CFT accounting disclosure insurance fintech/regtech upcoming events

Capital Flows to Frontier Markets: Gaining Momentum

An upturn in global activity and still-loose global financial conditions support strong demand for frontier market assets' With strong portfolio flows

Global Macro Views: The Red-Blue Labor Market Split

Last year we published a series of reports on red versus blue states, "¦ which showed that red state labor markets are materially lagging blue ones. W

Portfolio Allocation Trends: More caution in fund flows as trade tensions rise

Market turbulence in early February prompted a "sudden stop" in fund flows, with U.S. equities hit particularly hard. However, fund flows to emerging

Weekly Insight: Shots fired, but few casualties

Trade wars could dent profit margins, challenging expectations of strong earnings growth European investors likely to keep calm and carry on after dov

March 2018 Capital Markets Monitor: High-yield bonds pass the stress test-for now

The approach of global quantitative tightening could mean a sea change in borrowing conditions for high-yield issuers An unprecedented amount of the o



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