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Economic Views: Turkey - How Much Tightening in Turkey?

We develop a framework to assess the monetary policy stance, that trades off rate hikes versus projected inflation. FX passthrough from Lira deprec

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Looking Through the Turbulence

Non-resident portfolio outflows from emerging markets accelerated to $12.3 billion in May from $0.3 billion in April EM debt and equity markets saw ev

Global Macro Views: EM Concentration Risk

The EM sell-off has been large for Argentina and Turkey, which raises the risk of contagion to the broader EM complex. We examine non-resident port

IIF Insurance Update - May 2018

The May Insurance Update provides targeted updates on IIF insurance activities and events, and highlights relevant IIF publications or related regulat

Weekly Insight: Disorder and Contagion

Assessing spillover risks from Italy Euro Area corporate bonds look more vulnerable to contagion from stress in government bond markets Stubbornly hig

Poland: Challenges to High Growth

Economic growth has been high, but is increasingly driven by consumption. Productivity growth slowed since 2009 and investment remains relatively low.

Oil Market Price Volatility: Fundamentals with a Dose of Politics

Supply outages, extension of the OPEC production cuts, and geopolitical risks pushed oil prices higher. Continued supply disruption in Venezuela and p

Machine Learning in Credit Risk

The adoption of machine learning in credit risk modeling and management is gathering pace, with 2017 & 2018 seeing more banks implementing and/or runn

IIF-ISDA-GFMA submit the joint response letter to the Basel Committee's consultation on Pillar 3 disclosure requirements

The IIF, ISDA and GFMA have submitted the joint response letter to the Basel Committee's consultation on Pillar 3 disclosure requirements - updated fr

Global Macro Views: Turkey External Funding Risk

EMs with large external funding needs are under pressure. The Turkish Lira is one of the currencies in focus. We present external funding scenarios to




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