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December 2017 Capital Markets Monitor: Replacing LIBOR-Challenges Ahead

"¢ Potential phaseout of LIBOR raises key questions-what happens to LIBOR and legacy financial contracts that reference LIBOR after 2021, and what are

Economic Views: Russia - Higher Oil Prices Boost BoP Outlook

Our model suggests that a USD10 pb oil price increase boosts the current account by USD15 billion.' The current level of oil prices, if maintained, wo

Economic Views: Turkey - Facing a Challenging Growth Outlook

Sizable government credit guarantees boosted output growth this year. With the credit impulse weakening, output growth will likely slow down to 4% or

IIF Flows Alert: A mini boom-bust for EM flows

"¢ After weeks of strength, daily EM portfolio flows turned sharply negative in late November "¢ Anticipation of Senate approval of the U.S. tax refor

Global Macro Views: The BoP Outlook in China and Saudi Arabia

China and Saudi Arabia are key members of the so-called "Dollar block." Both have in recent years experienced large declines in official reserves. In

China Spotlight: Moderately Higher CPI in 2018

We expect China's CPI to be slightly higher, yet still contained in 2018, "¦ "¦ thanks to limited pass-through from PPI and slower growth of the money

Bahrain: Vulnerabilities Have Increased

Growth will moderate due to fiscal consolidation. The fiscal deficit, while narrowing, remains large and the debt-to-GDP ratio is increasing rapidly.

Economic Views: Korea - BOK Raises Policy Rate

Bank of Korea (BOK) increased its benchmark policy rate by 25bp to 1.5%, the first hike since 2011. Stronger growth, curbing of household debt, and up

Weekly Insight: All Together Now

Economic surprise indices advance in sync Will G4 governments further extend duration on borrowing? OPEC extension of production cuts may not buoy pri

Saudi Arabia: Capital Flight or Portfolio Diversification?

We examine the trends and outlook in the Saudi Arabia's balance of payments. The deterioration in 2015-2016 was in the current account as falling oil



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