Publications

Hungary: Growth Falters as EU Subsidies Fall

December 22, 2016

Real GDP growth has slowed as EU budget transfers fell in 2016, despite supportive fiscal and monetary policies.' Lower growth prompted an increase in

IIF Flows Alert: Post-Election EM Outflow Continues

December 20, 2016

The retrenchment in non-resident portfolio flows to emerging markets that began on November 11th has yet to come to an end, according to our methodolo

December 2016 Global Economic Chartbook

December 20, 2016

The December 2016 edition of the IIF Global Economic Chartbook summarizes our current views on the global economy, drawing on our latest' Global Econo

Ukraine: Bold Move

December 20, 2016

The country's largest bank was nationalized on Sunday, December 18.' PrivatBank, owned by the oligarch and former Dnipro governor Ihor Kolomoisky, con

IIF Dispatch: Update from China

December 19, 2016

When visiting China last week, we found more confidence that recent economic growth had stabilized, but also greater uncertainty about 2017 given elev

IIF Dispatch: Update from South Africa

December 16, 2016

Our recent visit to South Africa found an economy struggling to grow against a backdrop of increasing political strains, weak confidence and the need

IIF Weekly Insight: Buckle Up

December 15, 2016

1.' Markets brace for higher bond yields, stronger USD: As investors digest the implications of the Fed's rather hawkish hike (see below), they see l

IIF Dispatch: Update from Ukraine

December 14, 2016

Real GDP growth remains weak, averaging 1% so far this year. Worryingly, growth momentum has rotated to private consumption in the third quarter, with

December 2016 Global Economic Monitor: Winds of Change

December 13, 2016

The election of Donald Trump as US president implies an abrupt shift in policy direction in the US, but the details remain vague and implementation un

Top Risks for the Global Economy

December 13, 2016

We have increased our risk probabilities across the board, reflecting rising political and policy uncertainty. Our top risk is that populist platforms

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