Our estimates suggest that last year's failed coup attempt has reduced output by as much as 4%. The recovery has been very strong, however, mainly due

We update our assessment of the labor market following the latest round of data for August. ' We project the U-3 unemployment rate in a range of 4.0 -

We examine how EM reserve accumulation has fared in recent years. We compare the average pace of reserve accumulation from 2010 - 2014 to that since t

We showcase the importance of Global Value Chains (GVCs) for world trade. Using granular trade data, we determine that US trade balance with the rest