Publications

Weekly Insight: Living on the Edge

February 18, 2016

Better market sentiment-but very high volatility Close to the edge: our new Global Economic Monitor Mexico-major policy adjustment' Venezuela-more noi

February 2016 Global Economic Monitor: Close to the Edge

February 18, 2016

Recent turbulent market conditions have raised concerns that the already struggling global economy could tip into recession. Our baseline forecast rem

IIF Dispatch: Update on Hungary

February 17, 2016

Our discussions with government officials and bankers in Budapest last week focused on three issues: prospects for an upgrade to investment grade, the

IIF Flows Alert: EM Flows Back in the Red

February 16, 2016

After a brief recovery in EM portfolio flows induced by dovish moves from G3 central banks, outflows resumed last week as risk sentiment deteriorated.

IIF Dispatch: Update from Poland

February 14, 2016

The overwhelming takeaway from our recent trip to Warsaw is uncertainty about policy prospects as authorities grapple with the new government's ambiti

February 2016 IIF Capital Markets Monitor Chartbook - Looking for Safe Havens

February 12, 2016

Cross-asset :' The surge in risk aversion through mid-February drove safe-haven flows. ' Global bank shares fell almost 20% through mid-February, with

EM Asia: The Trade Engine Has Broken

February 11, 2016

Asian economic growth has slowed markedly, but even more worrisome is the collapse in Asian trade. Our analysis suggests the changes depressing Asian

Weekly Insight: Bear Country

February 11, 2016

1. It gets worse: This week has seen a surge in risk aversion. Rising concerns have been reflected in a further sh

Nigeria: Buhari Government's Baptism of Fire

February 11, 2016

With the mantra of change and a cabinet finally in place, the government is trying to reinvigorate growth and implement much-needed reforms in a parti

Thailand: Reviving the Economy

February 10, 2016

The large current account surplus and size

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