Publications

IIF Flows Alerts: An Early Warning System for EM Capital Flows

This note introduces IIF Flows Alerts, an early warning system designed to detect turning points in capital flows to emerging markets. The alerts are

Weekly Insight: Revenge of the Term Premium

Euro Area growth-getting better EM growth starts Q2 on a weak note China-economy remains tepid 1. ' Adjusting to higher bond yields: This wee

Zambia: Prospects Hinge on Copper

Uncertainty shrouding the copper mining industry has now been addressed. After negotiations earlier this year, the government modified its proposed ch

Russia: Recession Begins

Despite major real GDP decline in the first quarter of 2015, a stronger ruble and recovering oil prices encouraged officials to proclaim the economic

Venezuela: Praying for a Miracle

The policy response so far has mainly consisted of increasing external borrowing where it still can, but this life line runs the risk of being exhaus

UAE: Successfully Weathering the Oil Price Slump

The UAE is in a relatively strong position to withstand low oil prices. Ample public foreign assets will mitigate the adverse impact. Growth is expect

IIF Dispatch: Update from China

The official rhetoric is that the easing cycle will remain gradual and cautious. We think the easing will be bold and broad-based. The official rhetor

April 2015 EM Coincident Indicator

The IIF EM Coincident Indicator declined further in April to 1.6% (from a revised 1.9% in March), continuing the downward trend since last autumn. Thi

IIF Dispatch: Update from Jakarta

Much of the discussion, both on the stage and in the corridor, at our Asia Summit in Jakarta this week centered around Indonesia's disappointing 4.7%

May 2015 Capital Markets Monitor Chartbook

Liquidity-fueled Chinese, Euro Area and Japanese equities have been this year's star performers, while high-grade bonds have underwhelmed; higher oil

IIF Authors