Publications

2014 PCG Report on Implementation of the Principles

October 7, 2014

The global economic and ﬁnancial environment over the past year has continued to be supportive of net private capital inﬂows to emerging markets and o...

September 2014 EM Coincident Indicator

October 7, 2014

Our EM coincident indicator (EMCI) rose modestly by 0.2pp in September and now indicates EM GDP growth of 4.1% q/q, saar, in Q3, up from 3.9% in Q2. T

Emerging Europe: Living With Geopolitical Tensions

October 7, 2014

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has caused the regional outlook to deteriorate substantially. The recession in Ukraine has deepened and sanctions imposed

Weekly Insight: Adjusting to Higher Volatility

October 2, 2014

More uncertainty, less conviction on market direction Saudi price cuts, ample supply weigh on oil prices ECB-Oiling the currency printing press Modi m

October 2014 Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies

October 2, 2014

Capital flows to emerging markets have continued to be very choppy. Flows surged over the summer, particularly to Emerging Asia, but have dipped sharp

October 2014 Capital Markets Monitor: The Illusion of Liquidity

September 29, 2014

The divergence in economic performance and monetary policy between the U.S./UK and the Euro Area/Japan will be accentuated by actual policy moves in t

Venezuela: Running Out of Rope

September 26, 2014

Policy inaction has further deepened macroeconomic imbalances. Meanwhile, stagflation, shortages of goods and public insecurity continue to brew socia

Weekly Insight: Oktoberfest Hangover Already?

September 25, 2014

Risk assets falter, yield curves flatten, commodities slump Dollar storms ahead; more vulnerable EM currencies suffer Flash manufacturing PMIs-U.S. co

Weekly Insight: All Eyes on Edinburgh

September 18, 2014

Aye or nay? Implications of the Scottish referendum Markets weigh impact of FOMC, Scotland"™s vote, Chinese stimulus FOMC meeting-reading the dots EM

Nigeria: Strong Growth Despite Headwinds

September 18, 2014

Nigeria's economy, the largest in Africa, is performing remarkably well. Strong domestic demand is driving growth notwithstanding challenges which inc

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