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October 2014 Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies

Capital flows to emerging markets have continued to be very choppy. Flows surged over the summer, particularly to Emerging Asia, but have dipped sharp

October 2014 Capital Markets Monitor: The Illusion of Liquidity

The divergence in economic performance and monetary policy between the U.S./UK and the Euro Area/Japan will be accentuated by actual policy moves in t

Venezuela: Running Out of Rope

Policy inaction has further deepened macroeconomic imbalances. Meanwhile, stagflation, shortages of goods and public insecurity continue to brew socia

Weekly Insight: Oktoberfest Hangover Already?

Risk assets falter, yield curves flatten, commodities slump Dollar storms ahead; more vulnerable EM currencies suffer Flash manufacturing PMIs-U.S. co

Weekly Insight: All Eyes on Edinburgh

Aye or nay? Implications of the Scottish referendum Markets weigh impact of FOMC, Scotland"™s vote, Chinese stimulus FOMC meeting-reading the dots EM

Nigeria: Strong Growth Despite Headwinds

Nigeria's economy, the largest in Africa, is performing remarkably well. Strong domestic demand is driving growth notwithstanding challenges which inc

September 2014 Global Economic Monitor

The macro data flow over the summer months ranged from largely positive news in the U.S. and China to negative surprises in the Euro Area and a number

Weekly Insight: Wary September

More volatility as prospects for rates, currencies are weighed Sputtering growth engines in the global economy Record trade surplus in China Diverging

August 2014 EM Coincident Indicator

Our newly developed EM coincident indicator for EM GDP growth (EMCI) stood at 3.9% in August, unchanged from July, but up by 0.7pp since June. This su

Weekly Insight: Europhoria!

Euro Area stocks and bonds rally; more caution in U.S. markets ECB reaches its lower bound Euro heads south, sterling wobbles August PMIs-U.S. knocks



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