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Emerging Europe: Growing Monetary Policy Challenges

Inflation has slowed and external deficits narrowed, but growth prospects have deteriorated in Emerging Europe. With fiscal space constrained, central

April 2013 Global Economic Monitor

The good news first: the global expansion remains on track. Confidence in the global manufacturing sector remains at a level consistent with modest gr

Egypt: IMF Agreement Could Arrest Economic Deterioration

Egypt urgently needs to rectify serious macroeconomic imbalances as a prelude to tackling deep embedded structural distortions in the economy. Growth

Japan: Abenomics- High Hopes

Hopes are high that the new Japanese economic policy will finally end deflation. In the short-term, forceful monetary and fiscal stimulus will support

Tunisia: Widening Twin Deficits are a Source of Concern

External and fiscal deficits widen, driven by higher imports and large increases in current government spending, respectively. We expect both deficits

Tunisia: At Political Crossroads with a Convalescent Economy

A new coalition government was formed in March. Tunisia's political transition by end-2013 hinges on agreement on a constitution followed by general e

Uruguay: Brewing Fiscal Imbalances

A rising ratio of current primary spending to GDP, driven by rigid spending items such as salaries and entitlements, has narrowed fiscal policy flexib

Slovenia: Next in Line?

Banking issues differ greatly from Cyprus, with Slovenian bank assets only one-third the EU average of 3.5 times GDP. The largest banks are state-owne

India: Fiscal Deficit Contained

The government's renewed commitment to containing the large fiscal imbalance is underscored by stepped-up spending restraint since September, although

Bahrain: Fiscal Pressures Persist

Bahrain is the only country in the GCC that is running a fiscal deficit. A sharply higher level of recurrent expenditure was locked in last year follo



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