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Publications
Mexico: Lifting Trend Growth
October 1, 2013
Sound policies have allowed Mexico to weather increased global volatility and provide policy support to the economy. We forecast real GDP growth to ac
Brazil: Riding the Currency Roller Coaster
September 23, 2013
Policy has responded aggressively to currency pressures to stem depreciation of the real and contain inflation. Monetary policy has been further tight
Poland: Yield Curve Steepens Amid Gradual Recovery
September 19, 2013
Financial market pressures have intensified in Poland recently despite a much-improved economic outlook. Real GDP is likely to grow by 2% by the end o
Tanzania: Nonconcessional Funding Adds to Vulnerabilities
September 19, 2013
Tanzania has gained access to international markets, but rising reliance on nonconcessional funding with a persistent deficit raises concerns. In the
September 2013 Global Economic Monitor
September 17, 2013
Activity has continued to strengthen in the advanced economies, but differences across the EM world remain prominent. Those EMs that are closely integ
Venezuela: Struggling to Stay Afloat
September 10, 2013
President Nicolás Maduro is struggling to boost growth and stem inflation. With very limited policy scope, we expect the government to devalue the bo
Five Years After the Crisis
September 10, 2013
The five years since the global financial crisis has witnessed a striking divergence in performance between advanced economies and the emerging market
Euro Area: High Unemployment Likely to Linger
September 5, 2013
The good news: Euro Area unemployment fell for the first time in two years in June-July. The bad news: Unemployment is likely to decline only very gra
Nigeria: Fiscal Policy Challenges and Complexities
September 5, 2013
Despite its substantial oil wealth, Nigeria has recorded federal budget deficits for the past four years. Our projections suggest that the deficit wil
Turkey: Growth Set to Slow as Confidence Weakens
September 3, 2013
Large macroeconomic imbalances and increased political tensions have left Turkey among the hardest hit emerging markets as global market sentiment wor
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IIF Authors