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FRT Episode 37: IIF Digital Finance Symposium

The IIF 2nd Digital Finance Symposium was held in Washington on May 29, and speakers Annelie Schnaar-Campbell (Standard Bank), Gene DiMira (ManuLife) and Michael Brett (QxBranch) join us to share their top takeaways (with Brad Carr).

Economic Views: Weak Productivity Growth in EM

EM productivity growth has been sluggish, mirroring well-documented patterns in DM. China’s productivity outperformed peers, but is slowing in line with global trends.

IIF Flows Alerts: EM Asia Capital Flows Recover

Non-resident portfolio flows to emerging markets triggered a surge alert on June 3, … following the recent “trade tantrum” which ...

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Flows Decline Amid Rising Trade Tensions

Portfolio flows to Emerging Markets were -$5.7 billion in May. Equity and debt flows were -$14.6 billion and $9 billion, respectively. Net capital flows into EM were -$2.8 billion in April.

Weekly Insight: Wall of worry

Trade tensions and fears of a global growth slowdown send term premia and bond yields sharply lower; Tariff spat weighs on trade volumes — but inflation expectations in check as importers bear the brunt of the cost; U.S. buybacks and dividends still going strong — but ebbing earnings repatriation flows could signal a decline; Emerging market debt vulnerabilities reflected in higher risk premia; To meet ambitious goals for sustainable infrastructure and the Paris commitments on climate change, low-and medium-income countries would need to spend as much as 4.5% of GDP.

Charting the Customer Journey in the Digital Age

Financial services are going digital – how does this change how financial institutions work with underserved clients? The IIF and CFI explore digital transformation and provide examples of how financial institutions are providing creative solutions for emerging customers.

Global Macro Views: Nonsense Output Gaps

We test whether Euro periphery output gaps are too narrow given weak or negative growth. If we allow for sizable 2008 GDP drops and slower trend growth since, we estimate periphery output gaps that are often twice as large as consensus numbers.

FRT Episode 36: Open Banking, Fiduciary Duty & Liquidity

FRT welcomes Mark Zelmer, former Deputy Superintendent at Canadian regulator OSFI and author of the recent UK government report on Co-operative bank. Mark joins us to discuss Canada’s upcoming adoption of Open Banking, and some of the potential impacts in fiduciary duties and for banks’ liquidity. 

Economic Views: Argentina’s External Financing Gap

Funding will be tight as the election approaches, mostly due to persistent resident capital flight. We see reserve losses even in upside scenarios that may continue after the election takes place. Argentina will likely need extended IMF support.

Weekly Insight: Trouble brewing

Slump in S&P sales momentum suggests boost from tax cuts is fading fast; Weaker U.S. loan demand as delinquencies rise; sharp drop in leveraged loan, cov-lite issuance; Bank profitability remains under pressure, notably in Europe, Japan; U.S. banks reliant on trading, fee income; Banks’ exposure to domestic sovereign risk still an issue in several advanced economies; insurers also exposed; Venezuela: opposition team signals tough line on creditors



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