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Economic Views: Contrasting BoP Fortunes in Brazil & Mexico

We assess the impact of potential policy surprises, using our BoP Nowcast and positioning toolkits. Low current account deficits pose limited risk, but in Mexico heavier positioning than in Brazil could amplify the impact of negative policy surprises.

Summary of the Key Amendments to the Basel III Market Risk Standard

The Basel Committee on Bank Supervision finalised the Basel III Market Risk standard on January 14, 2019.

Weekly Insight: Cracks in the System

Policy dissonance has been a key factor in market volatility, yield curve flattening; Growing concern about the longer-term implications of a U.S. government shutdown; If bank stocks are a bellwether, signals are not reassuring; China deleveraging on the back burner; rising refinancing risk for U.S. corporates

FRT Episode 21: Global Financial Innovation Network

Christopher Kiew-Smith of the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) joins FRT to discuss the Global Financial Innovation Network (GFIN), an initiative by the...

Global Macro Views: The Fed says Pause. Markets hear Stop.

Not much has changed in the macro landscape, but markets have shifted to price an end to the hiking cycle. In effect, the Fed has become a casualty of the trade war, and further tightening (which we expect) is now harder.

Global Debt Monitor - January 2019

Global debt has grown by over 12% (or $27 trillion) since 2016, reaching $244 trillion (318% of GDP) in Q3 2018.

Economic Views: Adjustment in Turkey and Argentina

Turkey and Argentina saw sharp depreciations in 2018, that erased substantial real exchange rate overvaluations. We assess the BoP impact in 2019 using our Nowcast.

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Closing the Year on a Softer Note

Portfolio inflows to EMs were $3.1 bn in December. Equity and debt flows softened to $2.9 bn and $0.2 bn, respectively. Net capital flows remained in negative territory in November.

Weekly Insight: A Really Big Game of Chess

Dichotomy between still-strong growth and market warning signals leaves investors scrambling; Upward pressure on overnight rates could trigger liquidity shortages, higher volatility in money markets; Lowest tier of investment grade now accounts for 42% of the U.S. corporate debt universe, up from 30% in 2008; Central bank reserve managers shift away from USD in 2018

The IIF responds to the IASB Discussion Paper on Financial Instruments with Characteristics of Equity

On January 7, 2019, the IIF Senior Accounting Group (SAG) submitted to the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) its comments on the Discussion Paper on Financial Instruments with Characteristics of Equity.



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