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Publications

May 2018 EM Growth Tracker

Our EM Growth Tracker fell to 6.1% (3m/3m sa ar) in May, 0.1pp lower than April; the third consecutive decline. Smoothening out quarterly variation, t

IIF Insurance Update - June 2018

The June Insurance Update provides targeted updates on IIF insurance activities and events, and highlights relevant IIF publications or related regula

IIF Flows Alert: Trade Tensions Trigger EM Outflows

In the wake of the Fed rate hike, trade tensions have quashed the tentative upturn in EM non-resident portfolio outflows' Outflows since the June FOMC

Global Macro Views: FDI Flows to Frontier Markets

We recently examined the pattern of EM flows to emerging markets, where our innovation was to control for the role of reinvested earnings, which

Hungary: Growth Picks Up as Downside Risks Rise

Growth has picked up sharply, driven by investment and private consumption. Policies are expected to remain largely accommodative through this year an

GCC Update - Monetary Tightening Offset by Fiscal Stimulus

For the second time this year, central banks in the region have raised their policy rates by 25 basis points. This tightening comes at a time when cre

Economic Views: China - The Current Account Drop

China posted its first current account deficit in a long time in Q1. Is the deficit due to rebalancing or other factors? The bulk of the decline refle

Weekly Insight: Glaring Divergence

Market positioning highlights optimism on U.S., Japanese equities, risks for Treasuries, EMs U.S. yield curve flattening leaves bank stocks unruffled"

June 2018 Capital Markets Monitor: Demise of the EM Demographic Dividend?

Population aging will have a significant impact on potential growth over the next several decades-in emerging as well as mature economies-suggesting t

EM Government Debt-Pitfalls Ahead

As U.S. rates continue to rise, we draw on our Global Debt Monitor to look across EMs for risks related to leverage. While the rise in EM corporate de

 

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