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Publications

Weekly Insight: Emerging Markets in the Crosshairs

Stocks of highly leveraged firms underperform, especially in emerging markets' More differentiation in emerging market equities, but mature markets re

Global Macro Views: Can Argentina Adjust?

Argentina's fiscal position worsened under the Kirchner administration. The current government is committed to redressing the situation, and is imp

IIF Insurance Update - April 2018

The April Insurance Update provides targeted updates on IIF insurance activities and events, and highlights relevant IIF publications or related regul

IIF Flows Alert: Sharp Pullback in EM Flows

The rise in U.S. bond yields towards 3%-in tandem with a stronger dollar-has prompted a sharp downturn in our daily measure of portfolio flows to emer

Global Macro Views: What rising EM risk means for Turkey

Markets are turning less friendly towards carry trades, which is weighing on EMs with large external funding needs. Earlier this year we scanned EM

March 2018 EM Growth Tracker

Our EM Growth Tracker fell to 6.6% (3m/3m sa ar) in March, 0.2pp lower than February. This follows a brief period of substantial improvement in our tr

Weekly Insight: Cherry Blossoms in the Wind

Despite U.S. fiscal expansion, the global supply of safe assets may be nearing a cyclical peak' Large U.S. banks report record net income in Q1, helpe

Saudi Arabia: Moving Beyond Oil?

Economic prospects have improved somewhat, supported by fiscal stimulus and higher oil prices. The fiscal situation in Saudi Arabia is now on a firmer

Brazil: Growth Rebounds

Recent years have seen profound political turmoil weigh on activity. The stage is now set for a rebound in activity; we forecast solid growth this yea

Global Macro Views: Credit and the China GDP Puzzle

We recently introduced a new activity tracker for China. That tracker displays far more swings than the official GDP data. We explore if swings in cre

 

 

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