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Publications

Global Macro Views: The Fed is not Dovish

Market pricing remains far below the "dots" in 2019 and 2020, reflecting in part a perception that the Fed is a dovish institution. We examine past

April 2018 Global Regulatory Update

The April 2018 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in: regulatory capital stress testing accounting disclosure insu

April 2018 Capital Markets Monitor: Demographics-Ageing and Global Rates

Experts disagree: will population ageing push real interest rates lower or higher?' The answer will depend on changes in savings and investment behavi

Portfolio Allocation Trends: Policy Concerns Slam U.S. Equity Funds

Spooked by trade tensions and policy concerns, investors have pulled $40 billion from U.S. equity funds since mid-March While fund flows suggest more

Global Macro Views: The Odd Stability of China Growth

China's real GDP growth has been very stable since 2015, unlike its main trading partners, which continue to see normal variability. A new activity

India: Regaining Momentum

The growth outlook has improved as the economy is overcoming the impact of policy-related disruptions. Fiscal spending ahead of elections next year wi

Indonesia: Navigating Headwinds to Prop Up Growth

Broad-based economic growth is expected, predominantly driven by private consumption and investment. Official reserves will rise to USD133 billion in

Kenya: Fiscal Consolidation is Critical

The deficit spiked last year, driving public debt even higher, to 57% of GDP. Election and drought-related expenses were the main deficit drivers, and

Turkey: Strong Growth, but Rising Vulnerabilities

A government sponsored credit boom helped boost 2017 growth. Resulting strong domestic demand widened the current account deficit.' This leaves Turkey

Russia: Subdued Growth to Continue

The macroeconomic policy setup is sound with low inflation and a narrowing fiscal deficit.' Real GDP growth has underperformed its neighbors since 201
 

 

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