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Economic Views: Services Support Global Growth

Global manufacturing is weak but services are holding up, … giving us a reason to remain constructive on global activity.  Services ac...

2019 Presidents Report: Speech As Prepared For Delivery At The IIF Annual Membership Meeting

Each year Tim Adams, President and CEO of the IIF, takes an opportunity at the Annual Meetings to share a few thoughts on what the IIF has been working on throughout the year and what to expect from the IIF next year.

GMV: Key Macro Questions for the Annual Meetings

We review key macro questions going into the IIF Annual Membership Meetings. A central question is US and global recession risk, where we see fears ...

The Global Framework for Fighting Financial Crime: Enhancing Effectiveness & Improving Outcomes

Despite tens of billions of dollars being invested in anti-money laundering (AML) and countering the financing of terrorism (CFT) efforts worldwide, stemming the tide of economic crime remains incredibly challenging; the amount of money laundered globally each year is estimated to be 2% to 5% of global GDP, or between 715 billion and 1.87 trillion Euros. In this white paper, the IIF and Deloitte argue that greater emphasis must be placed on improving the legal and regulatory framework and risk management toolkit to enhance effectiveness.

Macro Notes: Portfolio Flows - Moderate Recovery to Continue

We expect a pickup in portfolio flows to emerging markets in 2020. 2019 saw a healthy recovery so far, despite slowing global growth. Central banks’ pivot towards monetary easing supports debt flows. Local markets appear to have attracted large inflows in 2019H1. This was true for established EMs as well as some frontier markets.

MENA: Forward Progress Faces Major Hurdles 

We expect growth in the MENA region to slow to 1.4% in 2019 from 1.8% in 2018, dragged down by the deep recession in Iran and the compliance with the OPEC + deal. This aggregate picture, however, hides considerable heterogeneity in economic paths across the region.

China Views: Supply Chains in Asia

US tariffs on China have the potential to switch production to other countries in the region.  We use input-output tables to see which countrie...

LatAm Views – Brazil’s Reform Agenda 

Pension reform has improved Brazil’s growth prospects amid an anemic recovery.

IIF October Global Regulatory Update

The October 2019 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on the Financial Stability Board along with current work streams in Regulatory Capital, Recovery and Resolution, Cyber Security, Digital Finance, Sustainable Finance, Insurance and upcoming events. 

Economic Views: Are EM Bond Investors Benchmarked?

Benchmark indices are a factor affecting flows to EM, … especially as passive investment grows more popular. We measure how benchmarked EM ...
 

 

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