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July 2018 EM Growth Tracker

Our EM Growth Tracker fell to 4.2% (3m/3m sa ar) in July, 0.1 pp lower than June; the fifth consecutive decline. Revising last month's figures, June's

IIF Flows Alert: Spillovers from Turkey

EM portfolio flows have slumped in recent days amid spillover from Turkey' South Africa and China hit hardest' Other EM Asian countries also saw moder

FRT Podcast Episode 2: Sharing and Safeguarding Data

In Episode 2, we examine the principles and practices that banks have historically pursued in safeguarding customers' data, and how these relate to ne

Global Macro Views: EM Contagion

Early this year we signaled rising EM risk , especially for Argentina and Turkey. We also flagged growing potential for contagion to the broader EM co

Turkey Update: Looking for a Way Forward

Last year's policy mix widened the current account deficit considerably. Financing remained available but became increasingly expensive. The lira is n

Economic Views: Turkey's Balance of Payments Outlook

Early this year we identified the Lira as significantly overvalued , given last year's policy mix that widened the current account deficit. However

August 2018 Global Regulatory Update and Podcast

We invite you to join us for the first episode of the IIF Global Regulatory Update podcast. This month in place of our regularly scheduled call, we wi

Global Macro Views: EM Fiscal Vulnerability

We scanned EM for external vulnerability earlier this year, and found risk was the highest in Argentina and Turkey. We develop a companion toolkit

Portfolio Allocation Trends: Winner Takes All?

Fund investors push U.S. portfolio allocations near post-election highs amid signs of economic strength, trade uncertainty The mood remains cautious o

Global Macro Views: China's Capital Flight Risk

Changes in China's FX regime have been associated with capital outflows, notably the 2014 band widening and the "step" devaluation in August 2015.

 

 

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