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FRT Episode 63: Doing Digital with Chris Skinner

Acclaimed author Chris Skinner joins FRT to discuss his latest book, Doing Digital, profiling the digitalization efforts, challenges and success stories of JP Morgan, BBVA, ING, DBS & China Merchants Bank.

Macro Notes: South Africa - In Need of IMF Program

We believe multilateral support will be critical for South Africa going forward. Moody’s rating downgrade will likely trigger further capital outflows in 2020Q2. This will continue the pressure on the ZAR, which we have flagged as overvalued. Economic contraction and higher funding costs will likely make debt unsustainable.

China Spotlight: Non-Performing Loans And Their Disposal

China’s NPL ratio has been remarkably stable amid slowing economic growth, largely because many NPLs have been written off. Without these write-offs, China’s NPL ratio would be at 4.85% today instead of the actual 1.86%. More institutions and instruments have been introduced to clean up NPLs. 

Economic Views: Scorecard of EM COVID-19 Preparedness

We rank EM on preparedness to handle COVID-19, beyond the scope there may be to ease macro policies.

Central Bank Digital Currencies: Canada and UK Discussion Papers

This short briefing note analyzes the recent Bank of Canada and Bank of England discussion papers on potential Central Bank Digital Currencies.

MENA Update: Twin Shocks -- COVID-19 and Plunging Oil Prices

Our MENA growth forecast stands at -0.3% with additional downside risks and high uncertainty over the duration of the shutdown and an additional potential fall on oil prices. We project recession in most oil exporters, the lowest growth in oil importers since the early 1990s, and wide twin deficits. 

Weekly Insight: COVID-19 exacerbates household debt burdens

Global household debt tops $47 trillion—over $12 trillion higher than in the run-up to the 2008 global financial crisis; More than three-fourths of the 75 countries in our sample now have higher household debt-to-GDP ratios than in 2007.

The Big Questions: Ep. 2 - Forecasting Global Growth Amid The COVID-19 Pandemic

Robin Brooks, Managing Director and Chief Economist, Elina Ribakova, Deputy Chief Economist, and Sergi Lanau, Deputy Chief Economist, tackle their global and regional growth forecasts in six questions.

Understanding U.S. Fiscal and Monetary Responses to COVID-19

The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Federal Government have begun to implement a series of policy measures to address the economic and financial fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, the two grids in this document break out the recent policy responses. 

China Spotlight: An Economy Under Quarantine

The damage to China’s economy by COVID-19 will far exceed the impact of SARS and the GFC. Though factories have reopened, it will take much lo...



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