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Jordan: Navigating the Difficult Geopolitical Environment

The underlying economic situation remains challenging with low growth, large deficits, and high public debt. Private sector confidence continues to be

Global Macro Views: India's Policy Shocks and Growth

Demonetization and GST were quasi-natural experiments, with profound and long-lasting impacts on the economy. This meant India missed the synchronized global recovery, but  a rebound is underway from low initial conditions. Broad money has not recovered fully from demonetization, but credit growth and capital flows will support investment. Easing appreciation pressure will be positive for exports, even though structural competitiveness issues remain.

Emerging Markets Scorecard: Putting Risks in Perspective

Against a backdrop of a stronger USD, rising rates and growing trade tensions, Ukraine, China, Argentina, South Africa, and Turkey appear most vulnera

Weekly Insight: The Force Awakens

Stronger dollar has spelled trouble for EM carry trades and local currency bonds Recent EM outflows now more on the debt side, in contrast to equity o

Capital Flows Report Special Feature: Cross-border Activity of Chinese Banks

Chinese banks' cross-border lending has grown over 500% since 2010-but has plenty of room to grow further: at just 5% of GDP, cross-border loan exposu

IIF Podcast Episode 6: 2018 Washington Policy Summit

On April 19, 2018, the IIF convened the second annual Washington Policy Summit . The event featured dozens of private and public sector speakers, incl

IIF Staff Paper on Addressing Cybersecurity Regulatory Fragmentation

This IIF staff paper "ddressing regulatory fragmentation to support a cyber-resilient global financial services industry" evaluates the regulatory app

Global Macro Views: EM Risk and Intervention Behavior

We have been focused on rising risk to emerging markets, especially where idiosyncratic factors point to vulnerabilities . Official intervention ca

Philippines: Balancing Growth and Inflation

The economy is to expand around 6.7% in 2018, running near potential. The key this year is to stabilize inflation expectations and anchor inflation wi

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Sudden Stop

Non-resident portfolio flows to emerging markets ground to a halt in April, hurt by a sharp retrenchment in debt flows.' Portfolio debt and equity out
 

 

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