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GMV: Is the Dollar Entering a Secular Decline?

Markets are debating whether the Dollar is entering a secular decline. We provide an overview of the main drivers of the Dollar in recent years. T...

GRU Podcast: The Financial Stability Board on Cyber Risk and Effective Industry Practices

Grace Sone, Head of Cooperation and Organization at the Financial Stability Board Secretariat in Basel, spoke with Martin Boer of the Institute of International Finance to discuss Cyber Risk and how the current COVID-19 pandemic is impacting cyber resilience across the financial services industry.

Economic Views: Can Pegs Do Real Adjustment?

Some pegged currencies are overvalued in our models, … including cases like Argentina, Ecuador, and Egypt. We check if any pegs have delivere...

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Ongoing Recovery

Portfolio flows to EM stood at $15.1 bn in July. Equity and debt inflows were $1.9 bn and 13.2 bn. EM x/ China equity flows post marginal gains. ...

CCA Regional Report: Navigating Through the COVID-19 Storm

The Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region was hit hard by COVID-19, with energy exporters also enduring the oil price collapse. Exchange rate flexibility, support from the IMF, and low risk of sovereign debt distress will help most CCA countries remain stable through 2021 absent further outbreaks. 

Weekly Insight: Update on G20 Debt Service Suspension

To date, over 40 countries have requested forbearance via the G20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI). The DSSI could freeze over $11.5 billion of debt payments due to official bilateral creditors between May and December 2020.

Frontier LatAm: Costa Rica’s External Financing Needs 

COVID-19 has exacerbated Costa Rica’s external and fiscal imbalances. We project a widening of the current account deficit driven by the services sector. Further IMF funding would be needed to cover a potential external financing gap. External risk remains tied to substantial fiscal vulnerability. 

GMV: COVID-19 and the Missing Inflation Puzzle

The years leading up to COVID-19 saw persistently low inflation, ... something that came to be called by some the “missing inflation puzzle.&r...

Macro Notes: EM Asia - COVID-Induced External Adjustment

We analyze external adjustments in EM Asia following the COVID-19 shock. Cross-border flows are shifting considerably in many countries in the region. The global recession weighs on exports and weak domestic demand on imports. Other sources of FX inflows have come under significant pressure as well in H1. This includes both international tourism revenues and workers’ remittances.

ESG Webinar Series: Climate Change and Sovereign Risk

The Climate Change and Sovereign Risk webinar was part of the IIF ESG Webinar Series, which was designed to promote understanding of the rapidly evolving landscape for ESG disclosure and to align efforts to measure and track climate finance.
 

 

 

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