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Publications

PRA Consultation - Managing the Financial Risks from Climate Change

The IIF has submitted the response letter to the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) Consultation Paper - Enhancing banks’ and insurers’ approaches to managing the financial risks from climate change.

Economic Views: Are Tariffs on China Working?

US imports from China continue to grow despite tariffs. We examine whether this means tariffs are ineffective, creating value, volume, and price series by tariff group.

Lebanon: Time to Act

A soft exit out of the debt overhang is possible and the authorities now recognize the urgency of committing to meaningful and widespread reforms to improve long-term fiscal sustainability and rebuild confidence. However, the scope of credible reforms for 2019 remains unclear.

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Capital Flows to EM Rebound

Portfolio inflows to EMs were $51.1 billion in January, the highest in 12 months. Equity and debt inflows increased to $33 billion and $18 billion, respectively. Net capital flows improved but remained in negative territory in December.

Weekly Insight: Patience Please

Fed flexibility on balance sheet normalization could have far-reaching consequences; Tech stock valuations suggest fears that trade war is morphing into tech war; A more dovish Fed spells respite for highly indebted EM borrowers; Unprecedented growth in green syndicated lending; Sharply higher debt in vulnerable low-income countries puts sustainable development goals at risk 

FRT Episode 23: Basel Committee Secretary General Bill Coen

Basel Committee for Banking Supervision (BCBS) Secretary General Bill Coen joins FRT. Bill discusses the Committee’s workplan for 2019, as well ...

Global Macro Views: A Weak Rebound in Flows to EM

Our high frequency trackers show a substantial pick-up in flows, though the underlying picture is weaker than headline numbers suggest. The rebound is concentrated in China, with Mexico and Indonesia also up, while the flow picture to India, South Africa, Turkey and Thailand is weak, even after large outflows during the emerging markets sell-off last year.

Crypto Course Correction

The crypto industry moves into the new year reshaped by a tumultuous 2018. Despite ongoing regulatory and technical challenges, the underlying technology and crypto-based applications continue to move slowly towards mainstream adoption, as evidenced by recent private and official sector activity.

Economic Views: Russia’s BoP under Lower Oil Prices

Sanctions lowered capital flows to Russia permanently but robust oil exports cushioned their economic impact. Our BoP Nowcast suggests a still manageable situation, despite a falling current account surplus due to lower oil.

FRT Episode 22: Erste CEO Andreas Treichl talks Innovation

FRT is joined by Andreas Treichl, Erste Group CEO and a member of the IIF Board of Directors, at Erste’s campus headquarters in Vienna. On the f...

 

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