Lebanon's capital controls may avert short-term crisis. Yet they can pose a long-term cost by discouraging inflows, which play a pivotal role in the country's economic model. Timely formation of a new government with a strong commitment to reform can boost confidence and enable removal of controls.
Global debt has topped $250 trillion—320% of GDP; emerging market debt hits a new record of $71.4 trillion (220% of GDP); With limited room for further monetary easing, debt service costs will be an increasing constraint on fiscal policy; Climate change is driving significant reallocation in investor portfolios; high-debt countries will have a much harder time coming up with funding to address climate risks; USD hovering at record highs despite Fed rate cuts this year: persistent growth in demand for U.S. liquidity as dollar debt across EM and mature markets (ex-U.S.) hits record highs. Non-U.S. banks are increasingly reliant on USD funding.
Global debt surged by $7.5 trillion in H1 2019, hitting a new record of over $250 trillion. With no sign of a slowdown, we expect the global debt load to exceed $255 trillion in 2019—largely driven by the U.S. and China.
IIF President and CEO, Tim Adams, delivers scene-setting remarks to the 26th Annual IAIS Conference in Abu Dhabi, UAE. Speech as prepared for delivery.
This IIF staff paper evaluates the benefits of cross-border banking, with a focus on its implications for the macroeconomy and financial stability. It also includes policy proposals to reduce market fragmentation and maximize the net benefits of cross-border banking.
Huw van Steenis visits FRT to discuss the wide-ranging Future of Finance report that he authored for the Bank of England.