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August 2017 EM Growth Tracker

Our EM Growth Tracker improved in August for the first time in three consecutive months, with a value of 5.7% on a 3m/3m sa ar basis. After the tracke

Economic Views: Easing Continues in Hungary

The central bank lowered its overnight deposit rate by 10 bps to negative 0.15% on September 19 while keeping its key policy interest rate of 3-month

Global Macro Views: A Top-Down Perspective on Competitiveness in EM

We look at where export volumes out- or underperformed relative to fluctuations in the real exchange rate, controlling also for changes in global grow

Economic Views: Brazil - A Powerful Hedge

Despite political woes, the reform drive regained force, improving macro prospects amid global tailwinds A sizable fiscal deficit remains the major ma

Global Macro Views: An Update on US Inflation

We expect an uptick in inflation in coming months, due to a normalization of the price path for specific PCE elements. The drivers behind this process

Economic Views: Qatar - Weathering the Arab Spat

The Qatari economy continues to adjust to the effects of sanctions by some Arab countries. Given the large public foreign assets, Qatar is a strong po

Economic Views: Russia - Kudrin's Plan for Russia

Long-awaited economic strategy plan limits its focus to the fiscal agenda. Kudrin argues that Russia must increase "productive" spending and limit the

Weekly Insight: Why worry?

Risk appetite remains close to post-crisis highs "¦but the search for protection has intensified Emerging market USD corporate issuance takes anoth

Economic Views: Nigeria - More Action Needed on FX Reform

While pressure on the naira has eased due to higher oil prices, increased production, and a weaker dollar, the spread between the parallel and officia

Economic Views: Korea - Trade Challenges Ahead

The rising trade surplus with the US and the large current account surplus prompted the Trump administration to call for a review of the KORUS FTA and


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