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Economic Views: Brazil - Fiscal Risk into the Elections

Brazil approaches elections in a complex market situation, "¦ and suffering from long-standing fiscal vulnerabilities. We analyze the electoral outloo

Global Macro Views: Hot Money Flows to EM

A distinction is often made between hot money and more stable capital flows. We examine which non-resident capital flows to EM look most like hot mone

June 2018 EM Growth Tracker

Our EM Growth Tracker fell to 5.3% (3m/3m sa ar) in June, 0.7pp lower than May; the fourth consecutive decline and largest since April 2017 (Chart 1).

Sticky Notes: July 12, 2018

Welcome back to another edition of Sticky Notes, the IIF's review of this week's events in international economics and politics. If you would like to

Weekly Insight: Troubled Waters

"¢ Potential impact of tariffs makes companies more cautious on future earnings "¢ Pressure for rate hikes-angst for many EM policymakers "¢ Impact of

Global Macro Views: Is the Fed behind the Curve?

Many emerging markets have sold off sharply this year, and a hawkish shift from the Fed could add fuel to the fire. We examine Fed policy through t

IIF/GFMA Respond to FSB Consultation on Misconduct Risk and Compensation

The IIF and GFMA recently jointly filed a response to a FSB consultation on recommendations for consistent national reporting of data on the use of co

Global Macro Views: Where Inflation is Running Hot

Why has there not been a more pronounced rise in inflation, "¦ given that standard indicators of slack point to a tight economy? One possibility is th

GCC Chartbook Forecast Update: Higher Oil Prices Aid Fragile Recovery

We have raised our growth forecast given the expected significant increase in oil production. High oil prices will provide a boost to non-oil economic

Global Debt Monitor - July 2018

Time to Pay the Piper ' The global debt mountain topped $247 trillion in Q1 2018, with the non-financial sector accounting for $186 trillion of that'


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