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Weekly Insight: Showdown in Wyoming

"¢ Dueling policymakers "¢ Currency valuation in focus "¢ Intra-EM correlations on the rise-trouble brewing? "¢ Venezuela-new sanctions could squeeze

Portfolio Allocation Trends: Bonds In, U.S. Equities Out

Global mutual funds and ETFs have seen inflows of over USD60 billion since mid-July.'  The balance has tilted towards fixed-income-inflows to global b

Global Macro Views: An update on the RMB

We update our model for the USD/CNY fix, concluding that USD/CNY could still fix lower for some time, given that the RMB in trade-weighted terms is st

Global Macro Views: Winners and Losers in Global Services Trade

We dig deeper into services exports, and consider what the growing importance of services trade will mean for the global economy. Using a new dataset

Weekly Insight: The Worry Factor

Editor's note: With this edition of the Weekly Insight , we are moving to a shorter format offering a concise summary of mark

Economic Views: Iran

Our preliminary estimate' of real hydrocarbon growth in fiscal year 2016/17 is about 20%, much more modest than 62% as reported by Iranian authorities

Global Macro Views: World Trade and the China Effect

The striking slowdown in world trade growth over the past five years has been the subject of much research. In the first of a two-part series on trade

Global Macro Views: Foreign-Held Income of US Multinationals

We provide some background for the discussion on taxing foreign held income. We document the size and nature of reinvested earnings that US-based firm

Economic Views: Argentina

Primaries reflected overall support for moderate candidates, positioning the government well for the October 22 midterm elections A brighter political

Economic Views: Brazil - Key Dragging Factor

Weak business confidence has been a critical transmission channel' We quantify the impact of dwindling confidence



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