Publications

UK Economic Update: Sliding Towards Zero

We expect GDP growth of 1.4% in 2017 and 0.0% in 2018 Reality is starting to bite as inflation is putting downwards pressure on consumption "¦ "¦ and

Russia: Overachieving Central Bank

With headline inflation close to its target and the ruble appreciating 6% in 2017, the central bank cut the policy rate by 50bps in April to 9.25%. Al

May 2017 IIF Global Regulatory Update

The May 2017 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in: International standards Regulatory capital Liquidity Systemic

IIF Dispatch: Update from China

There is a perception in the market that capital controls have helped balance China's capital flows. But experts that we talked to in Beijing were les

Turkey: Credit Impulse Propels Growth

We have revised up our real GDP growth forecast to 4.2% for 2017 (previously 3%) and to 3.5% for 2018 (previously 3.2%), thanks in part to the reduced

Weekly Insight: Glass half full

Debates rage, but the caravan moves on Greece -light at the end of the tunnel Puerto Rico bankruptcy -bigger than Detroit Machine learning -revoluti

Romania: Fiscal Escalation

Fiscal deficit widened to 3% of GDP last year, from 0.8% in 2015, as the VAT rate cut reduced government revenues by 1.6% of GDP. Further widening of

May 2017 Capital Markets Monitor: Uncertain Politics, Resilient Markets-A Lasting Disconnect?

The sharp disconnect between elevated political/policy uncertainty and sanguine financial markets may reflect investors' inability to adequately price

Japan Policy Update: Abenomics in Focus

Abenomics is still far away from achieving any meaningful results. However, this may be the biggest chance for Japan to finally get out from its more

Asia: Navigating Trade Challenges

Emerging Asia's progressive opening-up to trade in goods, and more recently in services and financial flows, has brought prosperity to the region besi

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