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Turkey Update – Exposure to Debt-Rollover and FX Risk

Private sector balance sheets are susceptible, at varying degrees, to external debt rollover risk and lira depreciation. Under the currently improving, yet fragile, investor sentiment, Turkey’s sizable amortization payments will continue to expose the economy to high rollover risk through 2019. 

Global Debt Monitor - November 2018

Global debt declined by $1.5 trillion to $247 trillion ($187 trillion ex-financials) in Q2 2018-mainly driven by mature markets. In contrast, EM debt continues to rise, topping $71 trillion in Q2 ($60 trillion ex-financials).

Global Macro Views: China's Vanishing Current Account Surplus

China's current account has traditionally registered large surpluses, but has swung into deficit this year based on data from Q1 through Q3, adding to the case that the RMB could be overvalued and needs to depreciate.

Economic Views: Why is China Slowing?

Just as in 2015, our activity tracker points to a slowdown, "¦ even though official GDP figures remain broadly stable. We compare the current slowdown

Weekly Insight: Unfazed

Investors undeterred by the prospect of gridlock after the U.S. midterm elections China sees much weaker FDI in Q3, though exports have held up well F

Ninth annual EY/IIF global bank risk management survey

The ninth annual global bank risk management survey, "Accelerating digital transformation: Four imperatives for risk management", carried out by EY and

October 2018 EM Growth Tracker

EM Growth Tracker at 4.0% 3m/3m sa ar in October. Hard data main driver of decline. Trade volumes improve, but internal demand is still weak. LatAm an

Oil Market : Brent oil prices could decline below $70/bbl

On November 5, the U.S. sanctions on Iran's financial and energy sectors took effect.' The temporary allotments, combined with the increased global oi

FRT Episode 15: IIF Digital Symposium in Brussels (Spanish)

On the occasion of the IIF Digital Finance Regulation Symposium in Brussels, Fanny Solano (Caixabank's Director of Digital, Retail and Markets Regulat

FRT Episode 14: IIF Digital Symposium in Brussels (English)

On the occasion of the IIF Digital Finance Regulation Symposium in Brussels, FRT welcomes Symposium speakers Bob Contri (Deloitte's Global Financial S

 

 

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