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Economic Views: Mexico - Source of Stability

NAFTA gave a big push to trade and financial integration, favorably affecting Mexico Uncertainty over a possible reversal could weigh on growth, leadi

Economic Views: Russia - Phillips Curve Shows Inflation Pickup in 2018

Phillips curve estimation suggests that supply-side effects explained the core inflation decline. A stronger ruble contributed to lower inflation and

Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey - 2017Q3

The composite index for the 2017Q3 Emerging Markets Bank Lending Conditions Survey increased by 1.5 pts to 50.8. This is the highest index level recor

Economic Views: Argentina - Seizing the Opportunity

The government has taken advantage of increased political capital to push for needed structural changes Relying on a gradual policy approach, producti

Global Macro Views: Why are Red State Labor Markets Lagging?

We have shown that red states are falling behind blue states in the jobs recovery. We examine three possible drivers: (i) demographics; (ii) opioids;

November IIF Insurance Update

The November Insurance Update provides targeted updates on: IAIS Announces "Unified path to convergence" for ICS' IAIS Annual Conference 2017' Financ

Weekly Insight: What Potholes?

"¢ Flat yield curve? No problem "¢ Fund investors slash exposure to Mexico "¢ U.S. tax reform-the waiting is the hardest part "¢ Venezuela-the check i

Global Macro Views: The US Participation Rate from a G10 Perspective

We compare the US labor force participation rate to other G10 economies. The decline in the US participation rate is a clear outlier, especially wh

Economic Views: Indonesia - Prudent Fiscal Policy

The government is persevering with prudent fiscal management as evident from the targeted fall in the budget deficit from 2.9% of GDP in 2017 to 2.2%

Economic Views: Turkey - Dealing with Currency Woes

Ongoing lira weakness highlights the growing risks to external financing and inflation outlook. The larger current account deficit financed mainly by



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