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Iran: Facing Domestic and External Hurdles

We expect president Hassan Rouhani to be re-elected for a second four-year term in May 2017.' Real GDP growth is expected to reach 5.7% in FY 2016/17,

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Climbing out of a hole

We estimate that non-resident portfolio flows to emerging markets rose to USD17.1 billion in February All four EM regions saw portfolio inflows in Feb

EU Political Risk Update: Fortune Shines on Macron

The European political outlook continues to evolve. This report updates on the latest developments in France, Germany and Italy. In France, Emmanuel

Czech Republic: Preparing for an Exit

Real GDP growth slowed to 2.3% last year as investments shrank by 2% amid reduced transfers from the EU budget.' Growth is likely to stay at 2-2.5% th

Venezuela: Edging Closer to a Breaking Point

The increasingly repressive government of Nicolás Maduro has dispelled hopes for political change. Foreign exchange shortages have intensified and ar

Turkey: Further Political Uncertainty Looms

A series of shocks appears to have slowed real GDP growth sharply to 1.7% last year and growth is likely to decelerate further to 1.5% this year as th

South Africa: Gordhan Keeps His Promise and Raises Taxes

Given the political tightrope he was walking, we think that Minister Gordhan delivered a commendable budget for 2017, striking a delicate balance betw

IIF-GFMA Joint Response - FSB's Guidance on Continuity of Access to Financial Market Infrastructures

In the response letter IIF and GFMA strongly support the objectives of the Guidance including enhancing transparency and communication between FMIs, F

IIF-GFMA Joint Response - FSB's Guiding Principles on 'Internal TLAC'

In the response letter IIF and GFMA raise concerns that the draft Guidance appears in some areas to provide insufficient emphasis on the group resolut

IIF Dispatch: Update from Argentina

We returned with a cautiously optimistic mood from our recent trip to Argentina. The gradualist policy approach, supported by markets thus far, has sl

 

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