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Macro Notes: Russia - Unintended Consequences of Sanctions

Sanctions on a highly-integrated economy such as Russia are still unprecedented. Unforeseen and unintended consequences could significantly shake up markets. The impact is likely most significant for asset managers and banking institutions. But further consequences for the underlying market infrastructure are possible.

IIF Letter on BCBS AML/CFT and Prudential Supervision Consultation

The IIF has commented on a Basel Committee Consultation on draft guidance for cooperation between AML/CFT and prudential supervisory authorities.

Frontier LatAm - Costa Rica’s Fiscal Outlook 

Despite some fiscal consolidation, public finances are fragile. If fully implemented, the fiscal rule would imply a sizable adjustment. Nonetheless, gross public financing needs will likely remain high this year and next. 

Economic Views: Growth & Capital Flows in the SARS Episode

We study growth and capital flows in the 2003 SARS episode, ... which turned out to be short lived but caused much concern. EM Asia ex China growt...

February 2020 U.S. Regulatory Update

The February U.S. Regulatory Update covers the Federal Reserve’s new proposed supervisory approach, the revised Volcker Rule covered funds proposal, the 2019 Financial Stability Oversight Council report, and more, along with Congressional updates and hearings summaries. 

FRT Episode 59: Davos Download

Standard Bank CEO Sim Tshabalala and Refinitiv’s Sherry Madera join us in Davos to share their key highlights from the World Economic Forum, across climate, data, combatting financial crime, and how societies adapt with the pace of change.

GMV: How Big is the “Missing Inflation” Puzzle in the US

Core PCE inflation fell back to 1.3 percent quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2019, ... reigniting the debate around “missing inflation” and what...

IIF response to IAIS Issues Paper on the Implementation of TCFD 

On February 4, the IIF responded to the IAIS Issues Paper on the Implementation of TCFD Recommendations. 

China's Outbound Investment:  Myths vs. Data

The picture of China’s overseas direct investment (ODI) is quite different from many people’s impressions.  

Macro Notes: Russia - 2020 Sovereign Debt Sanctions Outlook

The debate on U.S. sanctions on sovereign debt is expected to continue in '20. Low macroeconomic vulnerabilities will likely limit the impact on Russia. U.S. investors would lose out given investments in Russian domestic debt. Unintended consequences could also significantly shake up global markets.

 

 

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