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Global Macro Views: Maturity Dimension of QE Purchases in the G-3

We look at the maturity dimension of central bank asset purchases. We show how the average maturity of central bank bond holdings has been evolving, a

Economic Views: GCC

Based on our detailed macroeconomic framework for the GCC countries, we expect fiscal breakeven oil prices to decline further in the coming years Gove

Chile: Credit Downgrade Looms

Two of the three risk rating agencies have revised Chile's outlook from stable to negative. The country's ratio of debt-to-GDP continues to grow.' Fur

Oman: Facing Major Challenges

The Omani economy is one of the most vulnerable of the MENA countries to prolonged lower global oil prices. We expect real GDP growth to slow to less

Economic Views: South Africa

Inflation is back in its target range, driven lower by moderation in food prices, and we expect it to hover around 5% in H2 2017. In the absence of a

Economic Views: Russia

The central bank cut its key policy rate in line with the consensus by 25bps to 9%.' With the 12-month headline inflation close to its target, the cen

Economic Views: United States

Why is Retail Employment Falling so Sharply? We examine whether changing shopping habits can explain large job losses. Our results show that the subs

Economic Views: Turkey

The central bank kept its key lending rates unchanged on June 15.' The expected Fed tightening through 2018 will likely reduce global risk appetite fo

GCC Spotlight: Central Banks Follow the Fed

Matching the Fed's interest rate hike yesterday, four Gulf central banks raised their key policy rates in the context of the peg against the dollar.

Global Macro Views: The ECB's 2018 Scarcity Constraint

The ECB's ability to extend its purchase program beyond 2017 will be limited by a lack of public-sector debt eligible for purchase under the public-se

 

 

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