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October 2018 Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

Despite a sharp drop in portfolio flows, 2018 should see broadly stable non-resident capital flows to emerging markets of over $1.1 trillion, with FDI

MENA Economic Outlook: Higher Oil Prices May Raise Complacency

Oil prices are likely to remain high through end-2019, on concerns of supply disruptions in Venezuela and the impact of U.S. sanctions on Iran. We hav

Global Macro Views: The Fed is not an EM-Negative Catalyst

We turned more constructive on emerging markets some weeks ago, given that the EM sell-off eliminated some of the biggest FX overvaluations. But a

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Green Shoots?

Portfolio inflows to EMs increased slightly to $7.9 billion in September, due mostly to a rebound in bond inflows to $5.6 billion-offsetting the slowd

Weekly Insight: Turning Point?

Profit repatriation slows-a potential trigger to rebalance away from U.S. equities' Sharp divergence in shadow policy rates Wide valuation gap between

FRT Episode 8: Live at RiskMinds with Scotiabank CRO Daniel Moore

Scotiabank CRO Daniel Moore joins the IIF's Brad Carr at the RiskMinds Americas conference in Boston, discussing the evolution of the risk management

Global Macro Views: Weaponizing the RMB

In the wake of the latest escalation in China-US trade tensions, RMB has not resumed its sharp devaluation from a few months ago. This is because t

Economic Views: Iran - The Economy is Contracting

Re-imposition of sanctions have begun to cut oil and condensates exports A rapidly depreciating currency is feeding into soaring inflation and contrac

FRT Episode 7: FRT en Espanol

Episode 7 of FRT presents a Spanish language edition, summarizing topical issues in the regulation of digital finance. Esta semana hemos realizado una

Sticky Notes: September 21, 2018

Scott Farnham updates on this week's U.S.-China trade news, and looks at President Trump's love/hate relationship wit




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