Publications

Global Macro Views: The US Unemployment Rate is Going Lower

September 5, 2017

We update our assessment of the labor market following the latest round of data for August. ' We project the U-3 unemployment rate in a range of 4.0 -

IIF Capital Flows Tracker: Profit-Taking hits EM Equity Flows

September 5, 2017

We estimate that non-resident portfolio inflows to emerging markets slowed to USD16 billion in August EM Asia (USD6.1 bn) and Latin America (USD 5.9 b

August IIF Insurance Update

September 1, 2017

The newsletter is designed to provide a monthly update on IIF insurance activities and events, and highlight other relevant IIF publications or relate

Global Macro Views: Trends in EM Reserve Accumulation

August 31, 2017

We examine how EM reserve accumulation has fared in recent years. We compare the average pace of reserve accumulation from 2010 - 2014 to that since t

Global Macro Views: Global Value Chains and Trade

August 31, 2017

We showcase the importance of Global Value Chains (GVCs) for world trade. Using granular trade data, we determine that US trade balance with the rest

IIF Dispatch: Update from Malaysia

August 31, 2017

Improved Performance Amid Challenges Our recent visit found the diversified economy lifted by a firming in both domestic and external demand, althoug

Weekly Insight: Game of Chicken

August 31, 2017

"¢ Markets-overlooking the risks "¢ How inflated are equity market valuations? "¢ Junk bond issuance goes boom "¢' EM rally taking on a more cautious

September 2017 Capital Markets Monitor: U.S. Corporates' Net Debt - An Uneven Burden

August 29, 2017

US non-financial corporate debt is at a record high of $13.7 trillion-problematic despite record cash levels For the 3000 US firms in our dataset, net

July 2017 EM Growth Tracker

August 28, 2017

EM Growth Tracker continues to slide with a reading of 5.1% 3m/3m sa ar in July The reading for July is below the 12mma, for the first time since Febr

Global Macro Views: Policy Dilemmas at Jackson Hole

August 24, 2017

Ahead of the Jackson Hole Symposium, we discuss the tensions facing the Fed. Markets are expecting a slightly hawkish outcome given how dovish market

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