The IIF Emerging Market Growth Tracker provides a timely estimate of EMs’ real GDP growth. Our tracker is constructed by modelling 41 macroeconomic indicators across EMs. The IIF Growth Tracker is published the second week of the month.
EM Growth Tracker at 2.8% 3m/3m sa ar in February. Strong improvements in financial variables insufficient to halt decline. Trade volumes and industrial production still weakening. EM Asia and Latam weaken, EM Europe & Africa with marginal gains.
EM Growth Tracker at 4.1% 3m/3m sa ar in January. Uptick driven by improvement across all major indicators. Trade volumes and industrial production still weakening. EM Asia and Latam rebound, EM Europe & Africa still contracting.
EM Growth Tracker at 3.4% 3m/3m sa ar in December. Decline driven by hard data and business sentiment. Trade volumes and industrial production weakening. All regional trackers slowing towards the end of 2018.
EM Growth Tracker at 3.9% 3m/3m sa ar in November. Decline driven by hard data but offset by improved corporate sentiment. Trade volumes improve, but internal demand is still weak. LatAm and EM Asia trackers decline.