Political Risk

Political risk has increased in a number of mature economies. The IIF will continue to provide our members with leading analysis and commentary on the policy outlook and the economic impact of political events in the U.S. and Europe.

Recent Publications

Weekly Insight: Let's make a deal!

SOFR: a new reference rate is born U.S.-China tariff talk not y

Weekly Insight: Bracing for Protectionism

Large global companies underperform small-cap stocks as trade tensions mount Will tighter financial conditions slow the pace of monetary policy normal

Weekly Insight: Hoping for a Safety Net

"¢ Risk appetite still dented; tighter financial conditions hurt "¢ Higher hedging costs renew questions about foreign appetite for Treasuries "¢ EM p

February 2018 Capital Flows to Emerging Markets

February 15, 2018

Non-resident capital flows to EMs are projected to rise modestly in 2018, approaching $1.3 trillion' However, FDI inflows will likely remain subdued-e

IIF Podcast Episode 5: U.S. Political Outlook with Bruce Mehlman

January 23, 2018

In the latest episode of Huuge! Everything you need to know about big changes in Washington, Kristen Silverberg hosts Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagn

2018: Ten Big Questions

January 18, 2018

At this time last year we warned that political uncertainty had risen to remarkably high levels. Now the questions may have changed, but risks remain.

Weekly Insight: What Potholes?

November 16, 2017

"¢ Flat yield curve? No problem "¢ Fund investors slash exposure to Mexico "¢ U.S. tax reform-the waiting is the hardest part "¢ Venezuela-the check i

Weekly Insight: Letting the Good Times Roll

November 9, 2017

"¢ Stock prices track upward revisions to earnings "¢ Anticipating tax cuts-flows return to U.S. equities "¢ Warning signals from high-yield markets "

Weekly Insight: Decisions Made

November 2, 2017

More clarity on G4 policy rate paths Don't read too much into the flat U.S. yield curve Low volatility boosts risk-adjusted returns EM flows should se

Weekly Insight: High-Stakes Poker

October 26, 2017

"¢ Behind the bond market repricing "¢ Bank valuations on the rise "¢ Near-term turbulence for emerging markets "¢ U.S. tax reform-details await tax r

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