Euro Area

Recent Publications

Euro Area Economic Update: Positive Fundamentals, but Risks Remain

The euro area continued its robust recovery in 2016, with GDP growth of 1.7%, outpacing the US. We expect growth to remain robust in 2017 and 2018. In

German Economic Update: Still Saving for a Rainy Day

We expect robust GDP growth to continue, driven by domestic demand Investment is set to boom, with the housing market a particular highlight Germany i

ECB Preview and Draghi's Dashboard: Not yet under pressure

Headline inflation has risen above target for the first time in four years. Inflation has turned positive in all euro area countries-specter of deflat

EU Political Risk Update: Fortune Shines on Macron

The European political outlook continues to evolve. This report updates on the latest developments in France, Germany and Italy. In France, Emmanuel

EU Political Risk Update: France Takes the Spotlight

January 31, 2017

Le Pen takes the lead from Fillon in the latest French first-round polls Macron is building momentum and is a serious contender SPD nominates Schulz a

ECB Outlook 2017 - Time to Taper?

January 24, 2017

Core inflation remains weak, despite massive monetary stimulus We think the balance of risks to inflation and growth are no longer to the downside"¦ "

Weekly Insight: Place Your Bets

January 19, 2017

In search of inauguration trades Energy behind jump in U.S. inflation ECB-doves prevail, for now Mexico-tough times ahead Turkey-policy tinkering cont

Draghi's Dashboard and ECB Preview: Inflation Deliberations

January 17, 2017

No changes to existing policy measures ECB will look through upside news in inflation as "temporary" "¦ "¦but pressure on ECB to end asset purchases i

Weekly Insight: New Year, New Challenges

January 5, 2017

1.' What next for the dollar? ' ' Investors closed out 2016 with fairly firm convictions about where markets were headed: the dollar and mature equi

Draghi's Dashboard: Trying to Avoid a Euro Taper Tantrum

December 5, 2016

At the ECB's Governing Council meeting on Thursday December 8, we expect President Mario Draghi to announce an extension of the asset purchase program

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