Euro Area

Recent Publications

ECB Preview and Draghi's Dashboard: Not yet under pressure

Headline inflation has risen above target for the first time in four years. Inflation has turned positive in all euro area countries-specter of deflat

EU Political Risk Update: Fortune Shines on Macron

The European political outlook continues to evolve. This report updates on the latest developments in France, Germany and Italy. In France, Emmanuel

EU Political Risk Update: France Takes the Spotlight

January 31, 2017

Le Pen takes the lead from Fillon in the latest French first-round polls Macron is building momentum and is a serious contender SPD nominates Schulz a

ECB Outlook 2017 - Time to Taper?

January 24, 2017

Core inflation remains weak, despite massive monetary stimulus We think the balance of risks to inflation and growth are no longer to the downside"¦ "

Weekly Insight: Place Your Bets

January 19, 2017

In search of inauguration trades Energy behind jump in U.S. inflation ECB-doves prevail, for now Mexico-tough times ahead Turkey-policy tinkering cont

Draghi's Dashboard and ECB Preview: Inflation Deliberations

January 17, 2017

No changes to existing policy measures ECB will look through upside news in inflation as "temporary" "¦ "¦but pressure on ECB to end asset purchases i

Weekly Insight: New Year, New Challenges

January 5, 2017

1.' What next for the dollar? ' ' Investors closed out 2016 with fairly firm convictions about where markets were headed: the dollar and mature equi

Draghi's Dashboard: Trying to Avoid a Euro Taper Tantrum

December 5, 2016

At the ECB's Governing Council meeting on Thursday December 8, we expect President Mario Draghi to announce an extension of the asset purchase program

IIF Dispatch: Life after Renzi

December 5, 2016

As expected, Italians voted to reject proposed reforms to the Constitution, although the margin of 59-41 was much larger than projected by the polls (

IIF Dispatch: Update on French Election

December 1, 2016

As expected after his clear first round victory, FranÃ§ois Fillon beat Alain Juppé in the French Republican primary runoff on November 27 with 66.5%

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