MENA Regional Reports

Recent Publications

Hydrocarbon Exporters: Breakeven Oil Prices Have Declined

February 1, 2018

In this note, we examine the evolution of breakeven oil prices in the six GCC countries, Algeria, Iran, Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Russia. We expect extern

Economic Views: GCC - Headwinds in the Face of Monetary Tightening

December 18, 2017

The recent monetary tightening comes at a time when bank lending to the private sector remains subdued. Further interest rate hikes next year threaten

MENA Regional Statistical Appendix

October 26, 2017

The statistical appendix provides summary data for the 14 countries that IIF Middle East Department covers (Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Jorda

MENA Regional Report: Change is on its Way

October 12, 2017

We expect GCC growth to pick up to 2% in 2018 from 0.2% in 2017, as oil production stabilize

GCC Spotlight: Central Banks Follow the Fed

Matching the Fed's interest rate hike yesterday, four Gulf central banks raised their key policy rates in the context of the peg against the dollar.

GCC: Managing FX Assets in the New Normal

GCC public foreign assets have been relatively resilient and are projected at a still sizable $2.3 trillion in 2017 (140% of GDP), down from a peak of

MENA: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Gain

February 8, 2017

We expect Brent oil prices to average $52 per barrel this year and stay in the range of $52-60 per barrel through 2020. Higher global oil prices will

GCC: Change is on its Way

October 18, 2016

GCC countries are responding to a sharp deterioration in fiscal accounts and sustained low oil prices by launching much-needed fiscal reforms, with a

MENA: Weathering Low Oil Prices

Growth in the MENA oil exporters has weakened because of oil price declines and fiscal consolidation efforts. GCC growth is expected to slow further t

GCC: Dollar Pegs Will be Maintained

GCC authorities remain firmly committed to their dollar pegs, believing that the pegs safeguard economic stability and reduce the chances of social un

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