The IIF covers 30-40 emerging and frontier markets, with a particular focus on economic and financing issues. Our reports feature topical analysis of macroeconomic fundamentals, policy developments, political economy dynamics and downside risks.
Private sector balance sheets are susceptible, at varying degrees, to external debt rollover risk and lira depreciation. Under the currently improving, yet fragile, investor sentiment, Turkey’s sizable amortization payments will continue to expose the economy to high rollover risk through 2019.
China's current account has traditionally registered large surpluses, but has swung into deficit this year based on data from Q1 through Q3, adding to the case that the RMB could be overvalued and needs to depreciate.
Just as in 2015, our activity tracker points to a slowdown, "¦ even though official GDP figures remain broadly stable. We compare the current slowdown
Investors undeterred by the prospect of gridlock after the U.S. midterm elections China sees much weaker FDI in Q3, though exports have held up well F
EM Asian currencies have historically exhibited "fear of floating," with many countries using official intervention to stabilize exchange rates. W