The IIF covers 30-40 emerging and frontier markets, with a particular focus on economic and financing issues. Our reports feature topical analysis of macroeconomic fundamentals, policy developments, political economy dynamics and downside risks.
The Indian rupee is the worst-performing currency in Asia this year. We assess whether this reflects heightened external vulnerability, comparing risk metrics in the run-up to the taper tantrum vs. now. The current account deficit will widen, but not to 2012 levels. Reserves relative to external financing needs are higher now. External vulnerability persists but is less acute than in 2012.