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Publications
Current Account with Clay Lowery - Episode 60: 2024 – The Year of Growth?
December 11, 2023
In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by IIF's President and CEO Tim Adams to recap key events in the financial industry throughout 2023 ...
Weekly Insight: New era for U.S.-Venezuela relations?
December 7, 2023
The U.S. has temporarily lifted economic sanctions on Venezuela, leading to a sharp resurgence of investor interest. Heightened tensions over the Guyana Essequibo region and the recent order to arrest opposition members in Venezuela seem to undermine Venezuela’s negotiated position to end sanctions and raise the possibility of the reimposition of “snapback sanctions.”
ESG Flows and Markets: Financing climate transition in an era of geoeconomic fragmentation
December 7, 2023
Global climate flows are on track to surpass $2 trillion in 2023—up from $1.4 trillion in 2022. While still well short of the estimated $8.6 trillion annual pace needed to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, the pickup reflects the strong growth in climate finance commitments in recent years.
Global Macro Views: Supply Chain Normalization and Inflation
December 7, 2023
We’ve had a dovish view on US inflation for all of this year. Our rationale was normalization of supply chains after COVID, … which we estimate has ...
October IIF Digital Asset Forum Briefing Note
December 6, 2023
The October IIF Digital Asset Forum explored the tokenization option set for central banks and the private sector, considering multiple methods for tokenizing assets and building supporting infrastructure. Participants noted project tradeoffs and the importance of industry-wide collaboration.
Digital Finance Download - November 2023
December 4, 2023
Edition of the Digital Finance Download covering November 2023. A monthly update of significant developments in digital finance around the globe.
Current Account with Clay Lowery - Episode 59: Russia and Ukraine – Sun Setting for a Cold Winter?
December 4, 2023
In this episode of Current Account, Clay revisits the economic impact of the war between Russia and Ukraine. The episode includes an analysis of the s...
Global Macro Views: An Update on Trade Diversion around Russia Export Controls
November 30, 2023
Export controls on goods going to Russia have upended global trade. There is a widespread rise in exports to Central Asia since the invasion, … whic...
Digital Finance Developments: G20 Presidency Puts Brazil in the Spotlight
November 28, 2023
This week’s Digital Finance Developments spotlights Brazil’s assumption of the 2024 G20 presidency. We consider how Brazil’s digital agenda, particularly in payments, will influence global policymakers and note challenges they will face regarding data sharing.
Global Macro Views: US – China Trade Decoupling
November 23, 2023
The US trade deficit with China has shrunk since 2018, … which is when the United States first imposed tariffs on China. However, the US trade defic...
China Spotlight: Reckoning day for local government debts
November 22, 2023
China's local government debts have long been on people's worry list due to their rapid growth in size and opacity in structure. In this piece, we illustrate the size of the LG debt problem and discuss Beijing's attempts to defuse the bomb of the LG debt.
Joint Response to FSB Consultation on CCP Resolution Toolbox
November 21, 2023
The IIF, ISDA, and FIA have submitted a response to the FSB's consultation report on the topic of CCP resolution resources and tools.
Current Account with Clay Lowery - Episode 58: Hoping for the Meteor: What to Watch in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
November 20, 2023
In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by A.B. Stoddard, Columnist at The Bulwark, to discuss the upcoming U.S. Presidential Elections in ...
GRU Podcast: Developments in the World of Cyber Risk
November 17, 2023
In this episode of the GRU podcast, we host Lesley Ritter, Senior Vice President, Cyber Credit Risk Group, at Moody’s Investors Service to talk about ...
IIF November 2023 Global Regulatory Update
November 16, 2023
The November 2023 edition of the Global Regulatory Update provides targeted updates on current workstreams and events.
Global Debt Monitor: Politics and Climate Finance in a High-Debt World
November 16, 2023
Global debt reached a staggering $307 trillion in Q3 2023, with a big increase across the board in both mature markets (U.S., Japan, France, and the UK) and emerging markets (China, India, Brazil, and Mexico).
Global Macro Views: The LatAm Growth Outlook
November 16, 2023
We see solid activity in Latin America next year, supported by external conditions. Excluding Argentina, our 2024 growth forecast is significantly ab...
Digital Finance Developments: Major Economies Work to Define AI Policy
November 14, 2023
This week’s Digital Finance Developments highlights efforts to establish frameworks to govern artificial intelligence use, acknowledging that developing regulation for a fast-evolving technology will be challenging and that continual engagement between industry and policymakers will be important.
Current Account with Clay Lowery - Episode 57: Economic Spillover from Israel-Gaza Conflict
November 13, 2023
In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by IIF's Garbis Iradian, Chief Economist for the Middle East and North Africa Region, and Ivan Burg...
The Reduced Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Output
November 13, 2023
We analyze the impact of a potential spike in oil prices on advanced and developing countries, as well as the global economy as whole. We find that the overall effect is much less severe than in previous oil shocks due to structural changes including the reduction in the intensity use of oil.
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