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Publications

Economic Views: Venezuela's External Outlook

External funding dried up as the economy collapsed, pushing the current account roughly into balance. Import compression was unavoidable as exports fell. External deficits are not the issue, unlike past EM crises.

February 2019 Global Regulatory Update

February 2019 IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on the 2019 workplan of the Financial Stability Board, and updates on current work streams in Market Fragmentation, Market Risk, Accounting, Operational Resilience, Digital Finance, Sustainable Finance, AML/CFT, Insurance and upcoming events.

GRU Podcast: Financial Stability Board 2019 Work Plan

Financial Stability Board (FSB) Secretary-General Dietrich Domanski joins GRU, discussing the FSB’s work plan for 2019 and its emphasis on addressing new financial system vulnerabilities and evaluation of effects of policy reforms. (Andres Portilla, Brad Carr)

Weekly Insight: Looking for a Sweeter Deal

Sharp improvement in risk appetite reflects improved valuations as well as more supportive Fed policy; As new U.S. sanctions take hold, holders of Venezuelan bonds contemplate next steps; Wobbles in the leveraged loan market; millennials give a boost to U.S. commercial real estate; ESG index performance—doing good doesn’t mean giving up returns, especially in emerging markets!

FRT Episode 24: Crypto Update

A discussion of the recent IIF Digital Finance paper “Crypto Course Correction” which explores how the price collapse and regulatory actions of 2018 have set these technology applications on a more mainstream path for 2019. (Conan French, Dennis Ferenzy)

Global Macro Views: Currency Fair Value for Argentina and Turkey

We unveiled our EM FX valuation framework one year ago today, which signaled substantial overvaluations for Argentina and Turkey. Our model says that both currencies have converged to near fair value. But neither is cheap as current account adjustment is mostly cyclical.

Tool for reconciling text of 2019 Market Risk standard to the 2016 standard

The final revised Basel III Market Risk standard was published on January 14th in the new ‘modular’ format. We have arranged for a comparison document/tool which provides a comparison between the standards and an overview of the differences between the text of the 2019 and 2016 market risk rules.

Leverage Ratio and client cleared derivatives - Basel Consultation

The IIF, our members and other associations developed an industry response to the BCBS consultation paper (CP) on “Leverage ratio treatment of client cleared derivatives.”

CCP Equity in Resolution – Consultation the FSB Discussion Paper

The joint associations industry have published a comment letter on the FSB Discussion Paper: “Financial resources to support CCP equity in resolution”.

Economic Views: Where does Venezuela Stand?

We assess Venezuela’s macroeconomic fundamentals after years of policy mismanagement and social turmoil. The GDP drop is on par with the Soviet Union’s collapse.

 

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