EM Growth Tracker

The IIF Emerging Market Growth Tracker provides a timely estimate of EMs’ real GDP growth. Our tracker is constructed by modelling 41 macroeconomic indicators across EMs. The IIF Growth Tracker is published the second week of the month.

Latest Trackers

April 2016 EM Growth Tracker

PICK-UP CONTINUES TO START Q2 After a modest acceleration in March, our EM Growth Tracker points to a further uptick in April. Our tracking model ind

March 2016 EM Growth Tracker

EM GROWTH SHOWS SOME FURTHER ACCELERATION After a slight moderation in February, our EM Growth Tracker points to a modest pick-up in March. Our track

February 2016 EM Growth Tracker

After two months of mild acceleration in EM growth, our EM Growth Tracker points to a slight moderation in February. Our tracking model indicates that

January 2016 EM Growth Tracker

February 10, 2016

EM GROWTH PICKING UP MODESTLY, BUT PACE REMAINS SUBDUED Our EM Growth Tracker points to a modest acceleration of growth for the second consecutive mo

December 2015 EM Growth Tracker

January 12, 2016

After four months of deceleration, our EM Growth Tracker suggests that momentum has turned up in December. Our tracking model indicates that EM real G

November 2015 EM Growth Tracker

December 9, 2015

Our tracking model suggests that EM real GDP growth slowed by 0.1 pp to 2.5% in November on a 3m/3m

December 2014 EM Coincident Indicator

January 13, 2015

Our emerging market coincident indicator (EMCI) fell back in December to 3.6%, suggesting that EM GDP growth in Q4 softened from its estimated 4.1% q/

November 2014 EM Coincident Indicator

December 9, 2014

The IIF EM coincident indicator (EMCI) remained at 3.9% in November, suggesting that' EM GDP growth in Q4 will be slightly higher than the estimated 3

October 2014 EM Coincident Indicator

November 11, 2014

Our EM coincident indicator (EMCI) softened marginally by 0.1pp to 4% in October, indicating that EM GDP growth held up around its Q3 rate going into

September 2014 EM Coincident Indicator

October 7, 2014

Our EM coincident indicator (EMCI) rose modestly by 0.2pp in September and now indicates EM GDP growth of 4.1% q/q, saar, in Q3, up from 3.9% in Q2. T

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