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Entries for 2014

October 21, 2014
Real GDP growth has slowed sharply this year due to terms of trade losses and an erosion of confidence. To support economic activity, the central bank

October 16, 2014
Falling prices and rising volatility in context Will Fed exit be delayed? Groundhog day for the global economy Asset managers highlight bond market ri

October 15, 2014
This month's IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in regulatory capital, liquidity, recovery and resolution, data req

October 8, 2014
The collapse of long-standing authoritarian regimes in important parts of the MENA region, coupled with weak institutional structures, has opened the

October 7, 2014
The global economic and ?nancial environment over the past year has continued to be supportive of net private capital in?ows to emerging markets and o...

October 7, 2014
Our EM coincident indicator (EMCI) rose modestly by 0.2pp in September and now indicates EM GDP growth of 4.1% q/q, saar, in Q3, up from 3.9% in Q2. T

October 7, 2014
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has caused the regional outlook to deteriorate substantially. The recession in Ukraine has deepened and sanctions imposed

October 2, 2014
More uncertainty, less conviction on market direction Saudi price cuts, ample supply weigh on oil prices ECB-Oiling the currency printing press Modi m

October 2, 2014
Capital flows to emerging markets have continued to be very choppy. Flows surged over the summer, particularly to Emerging Asia, but have dipped sharp

September 29, 2014
The divergence in economic performance and monetary policy between the U.S./UK and the Euro Area/Japan will be accentuated by actual policy moves in t

September 26, 2014
Policy inaction has further deepened macroeconomic imbalances. Meanwhile, stagflation, shortages of goods and public insecurity continue to brew socia

September 25, 2014
Risk assets falter, yield curves flatten, commodities slump Dollar storms ahead; more vulnerable EM currencies suffer Flash manufacturing PMIs-U.S. co

September 18, 2014
Aye or nay? Implications of the Scottish referendum Markets weigh impact of FOMC, Scotland"™s vote, Chinese stimulus FOMC meeting-reading the dots EM

September 18, 2014
Nigeria's economy, the largest in Africa, is performing remarkably well. Strong domestic demand is driving growth notwithstanding challenges which inc

September 11, 2014

The macro data flow over the summer months ranged from largely positive news in the U.S. and China to negative surprises in the Euro Area and a number

September 11, 2014
More volatility as prospects for rates, currencies are weighed Sputtering growth engines in the global economy Record trade surplus in China Diverging

September 9, 2014
Our newly developed EM coincident indicator for EM GDP growth (EMCI) stood at 3.9% in August, unchanged from July, but up by 0.7pp since June. This su

September 4, 2014
This month's IIF Global Regulatory Update provides updates on current work streams in regulatory capital, liquidity, recovery and resolution, data req

September 4, 2014
Euro Area stocks and bonds rally; more caution in U.S. markets ECB reaches its lower bound Euro heads south, sterling wobbles August PMIs-U.S. knocks

September 3, 2014
Pricing for Deflation? As the market frame of reference continues to develop, from the Fed "taper tantrum" in May 2013 to Jackson Hole in August 2014,
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